Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e2ee512ac1330f5d929ada773f00e75089491d23ce232f2fc7f4742593af0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,483 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e04…7cbdbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 477$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…74efbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 378$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…dff6backed NRG | 64c | 291$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…3374backed NRG | 64c | 256$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…bde5backed NRG | 64c | 233$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…144cbacked NRG | 64c | 220$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa4…805ebacked NRG | 64c | 204$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb578…922fbacked NRG | 64c | 162$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4d…3ab8backed Paper Rex | 36c | 144$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5703…86c7backed Paper Rex | 36c | 132$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…0640backed Paper Rex | 36c | 124$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…ca1bbacked Paper Rex | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-2.5) vs NRG (+2.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago PlayoffsPaper Rex won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 3 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 4 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.