TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,978 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG57c60,489$34,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,065.8234356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Paper Rex43c57,041$24,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,587633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Paper Rex10c3,990$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…de17backed NRG58c3,474$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Paper Rex16c3,349$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.793129%9 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG52c2,758$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.118751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG56c2,068$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.0626051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb04…832fbacked Paper Rex19c1,650$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-77.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Paper Rex43c1,547$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.882951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471d…8b22backed Paper Rex44c1,426$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.93520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked Paper Rex38c1,384$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.2124732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed NRG55c1,362$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.8510956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Paper Rex41c1,225$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.3621558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed NRG50c1,203$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.18066.3%53 W · 27 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Paper Rex43c1,201$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3719248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Paper Rex50c1,150$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.2134847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked NRG64c1,134$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.195642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Paper Rex24c1,072$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.426852.9%36 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4604637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Paper Rex51c993.82$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+64.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Paper Rex44c956.75$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.0614652.1%76 W · 70 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed NRG63c889.63$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.361957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Paper Rex34c879$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.8614252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb145…df85backed Paper Rex36c871.11$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb218…f030backed Paper Rex54c870.89$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Paper Rex5c849.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.146418.8%12 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Paper Rex37c840$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.81450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Paper Rex45c816.41$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.233759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex41c786.59$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.261,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex50c728$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36453442.1%225 W · 309 L-15.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked NRG55c727$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.154736.2%17 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7424…ce06backed NRG61c700$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Paper Rex31c685.56$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.425555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…359dbacked Paper Rex53c634.52$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Paper Rex33c621$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9181134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2b1…614fbacked NRG55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Paper Rex45c599.3$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1365559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG59c592.14$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2953355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Paper Rex44c583.81$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2968458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Paper Rex57c577.51$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.1813759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paper Rex33c545.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.431,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked Paper Rex46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2304535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9962156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Paper Rex43c465.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Paper Rex42c451.56$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0253159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x750c…2fe3backed Paper Rex53c423.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.21425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb665…ed24backed Paper Rex53c423$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.19425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Paper Rex34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13654439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paper Rex45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18061035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Paper Rex27c364.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed Paper Rex29c347.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb28e…3997backed NRG52c331.17$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.96944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Paper Rex54c325.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.872369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9314645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c57…bf46backed NRG50c276$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1383834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Paper Rex5c267$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex39c259.37$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3543059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG66c256.15$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7688844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…4ca4backed Paper Rex53c230.19$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223284.4%27 W · 5 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+43.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd18d…768cbacked NRG44c224.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed Paper Rex27c221.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.512638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Paper Rex38c218$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.669042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG54c214$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.021,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Paper Rex40c211$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.728835.2%31 W · 57 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed Paper Rex46c210$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.612745.7%58 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d91…c930backed NRG48c204.36$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2721257.1%121 W · 91 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Paper Rex40c183$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.374353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d55…6014backed Paper Rex20c182.94$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.711145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Paper Rex38c180$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1710840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…a779backed Paper Rex37c177.11$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.891060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+148.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Paper Rex42c172$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.898837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Paper Rex32c170.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2910661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ac…6b83backed Paper Rex30c167.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.132846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Paper Rex35c164.22$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.086949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab4d…554bbacked Paper Rex34c159.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.093941%16 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Paper Rex39c159$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4666438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7b8…31e6backed NRG50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7536145.7%165 W · 196 L+22.8wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Paper Rex49c143.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5614…b9fbbacked Paper Rex21c142.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Paper Rex26c138.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3625444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…2c29backed Paper Rex43c137.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Paper Rex41c130$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae9e…41f2backed Paper Rex51c119.61$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Paper Rex34c118.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3121240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…ffc2backed Paper Rex16c114.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.971735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40dd…e214backed Paper Rex14c110.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Paper Rex46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac2…c7e0backed Paper Rex46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex19c106.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Paper Rex24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247623.7%18 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1506…4690backed Paper Rex51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG49c95$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.441,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Paper Rex29c94.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0857517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36cf…3773backed NRG54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG56c89.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.648343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2993…5060backed Paper Rex16c81.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG69c79.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7128151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG47c78.29$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.555939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…2574backed Paper Rex39c77.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.