TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52f1…7e14

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$43.38
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.13
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+60%+$37.5
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.87
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+103.1%+$66
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+135.7%+$143.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$29.22
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.45
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$22.86
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,100
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.3%+$3.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.