Lol · resolved market
Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d7bdee527d419a48abf7a315fca23d1878c05795b7867e2384734fcb1929c2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,586 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 1,755$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 78c | 1,446$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed No | 28c | 1,281$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.51 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 72c | 1,222$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.17 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,175$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.48 | 405 | 46.2%187 W · 218 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 8c | 908.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 73c | 820.07$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked No | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.81 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 67c | 436.7$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.42 | 1,025 | 39.6%406 W · 619 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 401.16$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.17 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 17c | 370.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 365.29$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed No | 41c | 346.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Yes | 67c | 339.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 560 | 60.4%338 W · 222 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 50c | 335.31$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 47c | 313.99$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 79c | 309$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 72c | 279.17$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc150…e85fbacked Yes | 72c | 277.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 233.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ad…6866backed No | 4c | 233.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 28c | 205.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 521 | 51.8%270 W · 251 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 51c | 190$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 48c | 155.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 42c | 153.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…fbfdbacked Yes | 71c | 141.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…a00abacked No | 31c | 139.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +400%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1f…de05backed Yes | 71c | 132.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Yes | 38c | 130.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 28c | 112.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Yes | 74c | 103.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…81cabacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d0…52f0backed Yes | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…8655backed Yes | 58c | 96.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…a7e7backed No | 31c | 93.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…4478backed Yes | 56c | 88.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…3d2bbacked Yes | 64c | 77.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked Yes | 41c | 74.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…fae1backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…983fbacked Yes | 64c | 62.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 428 | 35%150 W · 278 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d22…d039backed Yes | 51c | 58.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Yes | 52c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…bfa8backed Yes | 35c | 57.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 39c | 55.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 28c | 54.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f1…7e14backed Yes | 41c | 49.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56af…7527backed Yes | 58c | 44.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8238…fcb9backed Yes | 52c | 38.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed No | 58c | 36.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 72c | 35.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a2…7cbbbacked Yes | 71c | 30.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 76c | 28.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 27.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabc4…9307backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…b0a7backed Yes | 60c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 56c | 20.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 59c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?this page
- Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.