Lol · resolved market
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a4c1563b2ea6d94eb56820da3ff99746a8469914dbb2f6b7347baed5ab42fc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,068 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 30c | 1,670$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…a568backed No | 67c | 1,397$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Yes | 16c | 1,310$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,048$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 39c | 727.34$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3b41backed Yes | 32c | 498.18$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 13c | 394.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 31c | 340.85$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 78c | 311.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Yes | 38c | 309.11$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…c9cbbacked Yes | 28c | 216.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked No | 61c | 194$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Yes | 47c | 184.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked No | 63c | 167.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.96 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed No | 58c | 151$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 25c | 137.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 661 | 16.5%109 W · 552 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Yes | 16c | 131.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 51c | 126.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 118.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 66c | 115.19$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked No | 60c | 112.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…e697backed No | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4620…2716backed Yes | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Yes | 38c | 77.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 22c | 71.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Yes | 28c | 67.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ab…7311backed Yes | 39c | 50.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…8fffbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 161 | 43.5%70 W · 91 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…b332backed Yes | 45c | 44.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 40c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8689…030cbacked Yes | 54c | 32.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…9e04backed Yes | 41c | 25.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33b5…8417backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6633…dcfebacked No | 62c | 24.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?Yes won
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
- Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.