TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20ab…7311

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT8549.4%42 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15.48
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.79
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
LoL: LYON vs LOUD (BO5) - First Stand Group Bbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.8%+$20.52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46
Will Cloud9 win LCS 2026 Split 1: Lock-in Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$20.21
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$29.98
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$107
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.