TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,988 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over40c15,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafda…0fccbacked Under59c4,422$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,830.416654.8%91 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Under59c4,244$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.9639749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over40c4,219$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.481,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over42c3,825$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.9121954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under61c3,819$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.5435448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over42c3,524$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.1518829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Over27c2,737$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.333429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Under60c2,597$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.611243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x641c…9a65backed Under71c2,207$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7c…cbaabacked Under60c2,203$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.339238%35 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54014852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked Under57c1,753$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.0866437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ab…5315backed Over32c1,470$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.35431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Under59c1,461$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.8828240.8%115 W · 167 L-16.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked Under66c1,407$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.0411251.8%58 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Under59c1,400$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5684450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over35c1,368$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2116842.9%72 W · 96 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over46c1,288$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.7126042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over39c1,260$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.410521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over45c1,250$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.3537641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9cd…3499backed Under60c1,220$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.965450%27 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under58c1,083$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3328655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505651.8%29 W · 27 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Under60c1,000$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40541347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Under59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41050646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over39c980.36$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.4644128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Under58c855.83$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6725268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6abbbacked Under59c852.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.453174.2%23 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over37c834.59$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.711,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Under60c833.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3313857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…efbebacked Under77c800$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.743540%14 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3442,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over42c792.57$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8812324.4%30 W · 93 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7add…7a7bbacked Over40c785.72$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.291936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bd…61e4backed Under60c764.98$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.994057.5%23 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Under60c666.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0663458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Under60c595.75$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.386251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over35c560.61$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.542,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over41c537.14$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2886144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Under59c508.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5624554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.775738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Over42c477.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014935.6%53 W · 96 L-12.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6b2…4951backed Under65c475$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.512867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over20c449.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.032,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Under75c418.27$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.575170.6%36 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under59c379.02$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.429240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Over44c367.05$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.519042.1%80 W · 110 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5084041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb74…3fabbacked Under60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3319052.6%100 W · 90 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…39dabacked Over12c300.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.533237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under73c294.99$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.713,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed Under66c277.14$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.231631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Under59c269.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.922147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x34fc…e2a2backed Under67c266.88$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.883655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under58c258.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.148042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370a…b23fbacked Under60c240$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Under59c219.46$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4812347.2%58 W · 65 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc036…fba6backed Over40c214.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.712650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over45c208.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8042835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8231646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a05…43e2backed Under65c199$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.651181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over41c181.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4714732%47 W · 100 L-13.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over44c174$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.566331.7%20 W · 43 L-9.3wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x58ff…0897backed Under57c174$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743145.2%14 W · 17 L-5.8wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Over34c173.62$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0310944%48 W · 61 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dbe…6980backed Under59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…49e0backed Over43c168$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6736752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc22a…8259backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6738144.6%170 W · 211 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f5…1700backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.677451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…f08fbacked Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3dbbbacked Over43c163$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb623…2b85backed Over41c154$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Under66c151.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5910845.4%49 W · 59 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a1b…67b1backed Under74c148.25$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.259561.1%58 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4acd…535cbacked Over43c147$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Under64c142.29$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2251160.3%308 W · 203 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under66c140$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2530545.2%138 W · 167 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over41c131.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.111042.7%47 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Over39c129.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.531,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd1…44c7backed Over43c128.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c8…7153backed Over42c126.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under63c122.96$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.340143.9%176 W · 225 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12b…43a9backed Under60c122.14$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.992850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875d…61e6backed Over42c120$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over40c119.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7434945.6%159 W · 190 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over42c118.9$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.539445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18e0…0586backed Under60c117.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9212362.6%77 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Under68c112$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5311141.4%46 W · 65 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under60c110$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.123855.9%133 W · 105 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Under58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.39549.5%47 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over40c109.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.851,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Under68c106.18$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under60c103.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9265063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8441…7925backed Under63c102.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.175442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Under59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6917544%77 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf931…edddbacked Under59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.692347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.