Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ff57df701abae7c4e9611dc1ead317a0589cd0897040da932eff644ea2c4de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, Team Secret Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Secret Whales | 12c | 39,613$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.63 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Secret Whales | 13c | 30,111$3,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,765.54 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Secret Whales | 13c | 15,000$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 11,942$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.1 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Secret Whales | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…f96ebacked Team Secret Whales | 3c | 7,985$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Secret Whales | 11c | 4,001$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Team Secret Whales | 13c | 3,005$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.57 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Team Secret Whales | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Team Secret Whales | 14c | 2,650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Team Secret Whales | 13c | 2,123$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Team Secret Whales | 15c | 1,306$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Secret Whales | 13c | 1,175$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Team Secret Whales | 14c | 1,070$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fed…fa70backed Team Secret Whales | 14c | 835.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.03 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Secret Whales | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Secret Whales | 14c | 710.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 211 | 50.7%107 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Team Secret Whales | 14c | 653.01$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.02 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Secret Whales | 11c | 459.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Team Secret Whales | 11c | 454$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Secret Whales | 6c | 347.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Team Secret Whales | 15c | 333.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 326.03$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Team Secret Whales | 13c | 200.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 349 | 45.6%159 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Team Secret Whales | 15c | 184.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Team Secret Whales | 12c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…2332backed Team Secret Whales | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Team Secret Whales | 12c | 109.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…cd20backed Team Secret Whales | 15c | 108$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…e31ebacked Team Secret Whales | 13c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Team Secret Whales | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked Team Secret Whales | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Team Secret Whales | 10c | 95.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…3b84backed Team Secret Whales | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Secret Whales won
- First Blood in Game 2?BNK FEARX won
- First Blood in Game 3?Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group ABNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.