TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7b9…aa71

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.31
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$213.99
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$86.81
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$17.06
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$13.48
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.19
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.65
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+77%+$22.51
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$12.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.31
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$39.51
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$31.3
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+188.6%+$63.43
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$61.51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$76.35
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$926.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.