Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a210ae93ee36391960790836df9ead38be3634702b10093b707468500ac280
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Over | 48c | 2,015$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.85 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 53c | 1,747$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.1 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 59c | 609.76$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.15 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 52c | 555$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 50c | 383.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.53 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 47c | 267.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.87 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 237.88$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.27 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 210.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e1…d17abacked Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 199.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.27 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Under | 54c | 180.16$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 167.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 52c | 166.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 48c | 161.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Under | 57c | 132.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 43c | 125.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 56c | 112.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 78c | 98.71$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…bb8abacked Under | 71c | 84.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +26.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 47c | 84.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 81.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 22c | 73.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 49c | 73.2$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 37c | 72.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 22c | 64.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 405 | 43.7%177 W · 228 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 39c | 63.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed Over | 40c | 60.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 29c | 52.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 23c | 49.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 35c | 49.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 65c | 48.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 30c | 47.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,931 | 35.9%693 W · 1,238 L | -98.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdd…2c78backed Under | 64c | 41.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 37c | 39.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 185 | 55.1%102 W · 83 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Under | 62c | 39.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 61c | 39.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 31c | 36.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Over | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over | 37c | 29.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 125 | 24%30 W · 95 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Under | 63c | 29.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 685 | 53.7%368 W · 317 L | -20.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 63c | 22.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…7579backed Under | 55c | 19.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 79c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.