TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,182

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,870 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x045d…185dbacked Over45c2,767$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.8763458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under62c2,216$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.391,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under67c2,118$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.5637641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb86f…da81backed Over36c1,768$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.07955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1234…c1bbbacked Under67c1,547$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.273542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over38c1,456$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.2185746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under63c1,180$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.3710521%22 W · 83 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-2.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Under63c999.99$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63057945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under63c792.47$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.561,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over37c775.99$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.2911959.7%71 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Under62c568.37$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.478549.9%392 W · 393 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over38c547.15$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2318653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc438…e537backed Under67c522.18$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Under64c519.07$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under53c504.44$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31029240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Over65c349.62$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3717250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Under66c338.93$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.52466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+50.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Under66c323.34$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8612640.5%51 W · 75 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed Under62c306.05$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under64c301.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7941749.2%205 W · 212 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over38c296.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.8610165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over37c289.61$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2714338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Under31c288.6$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.472748.1%13 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick27cpaid+105%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Over36c267.11$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9522545.8%103 W · 122 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Over38c237.81$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.448058.8%47 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Over32c217.65$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14821154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under64c217.23$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.27944.3%35 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Over34c198.35$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.913554.3%19 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Under68c190.8$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6824359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over37c185$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.555955.9%33 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over37c168.87$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.3910355.3%57 W · 46 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over37c158.19$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1913357.1%76 W · 57 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Under66c155.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.428827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Over38c152.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.255265.4%34 W · 18 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under33c151.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050345.7%230 W · 273 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Over33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.531643%136 W · 180 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over38c149.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5311161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over38c149.23$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.537865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Over38c139.61$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.564763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under67c136.74$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6121944.3%97 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Over63c131.41$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2738950.9%198 W · 191 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Over63c129.28$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.543560%21 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over67c121.45$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.361,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Under64c121.32$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6516452.4%86 W · 78 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under63c118.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.916047.5%76 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over36c112$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.6831650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81cf…9227backed Under43c105.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.47556%42 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under64c105.05$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1343442.4%184 W · 250 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Under34c100.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.64531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025952.1%135 W · 124 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e1…8b57backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409549.5%47 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Under62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Over37c98.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.833056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b9…aa71backed Over35c97.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.433860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under52c95.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4882044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under65c94.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9228559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d42…d390backed Under38c90.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under24c89.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841,73029.5%510 W · 1,220 L-123.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Under40c78.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.85347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Over38c76.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.162955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Under64c67.95$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7914645.9%67 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Over36c66.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7421140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Over37c61.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked Over36c60.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.615366%35 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under53c59.09$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.251127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over62c56.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3914139%55 W · 86 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over66c55.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0218447.8%88 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over50c52.53$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0926940.5%109 W · 160 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Over35c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4979545.3%360 W · 435 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef3…0da9backed Under33c43.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under66c38.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.666350.8%32 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Under32c38.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.173122.6%7 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over53c36.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9821233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c36.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.622,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56bd…e58dbacked Under64c32.35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.728655.9%160 W · 126 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Over38c31.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.75263.5%33 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…4b24backed Under63c31.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.561844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6472…81e3backed Over37c29.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.798257.3%47 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6211753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Under62c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1244743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under65c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2539044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over47c24.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1341651.2%213 W · 203 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over60c24.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7632442%136 W · 188 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed Under44c23.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Under62c19.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1110949.5%54 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over75c18.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.682,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…a4aabacked Over70c14.83$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.452138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.