TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
KT Rolsterof Gen.G, KT Rolster
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$613,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$714,884

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd812…2558backed Gen.G50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00021137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Gen.G62c27,810$17,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,185.6917949.2%88 W · 91 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked KT Rolster79c23,601$18,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,868.8412664.3%81 W · 45 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Gen.G66c22,486$14,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,789.951,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed KT Rolster24c17,896$4,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,664.21,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea4…b906backed Gen.G69c16,904$11,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,687.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed KT Rolster54c16,212$8,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,401.5218554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Gen.G79c15,832$12,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,459.5338462%238 W · 146 L-0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Gen.G0c14,679$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3241644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a5…8e33backed KT Rolster27c13,950$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,124.211827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Gen.G3c13,332$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.073775.6%21 W · 356 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed KT Rolster51c11,615$5,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.2548157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked KT Rolster27c7,934$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,794.0666437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed KT Rolster25c7,865$1,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.7544047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G74c7,457$5,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,543.211,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked KT Rolster49c7,192$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.81,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Gen.G77c5,919$4,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,586.4176953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Gen.G51c5,633$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,882.521,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Gen.G57c5,395$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.338647.7%41 W · 45 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…2a2dbacked Gen.G71c5,284$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.2412458.1%72 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5df…a6b6backed Gen.G77c5,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8504465.9%29 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gen.G77c4,981$3,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,818.3370162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed KT Rolster23c4,434$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,414.4485746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x868b…1eb0backed KT Rolster45c4,297$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,382.9310550.5%53 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked KT Rolster49c4,261$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.732,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked KT Rolster48c4,247$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.751,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked KT Rolster26c4,227$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.751942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b7…9f3abacked KT Rolster23c4,120$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.212524%6 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Gen.G54c3,908$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.9148440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked KT Rolster60c3,607$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.8859952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked KT Rolster57c3,379$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.8673237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Gen.G70c3,293$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.531,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked KT Rolster30c3,223$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.9614338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2d5…2c0ebacked KT Rolster57c3,175$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.644156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77cf…beb6backed Gen.G75c3,128$2,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,352.42757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Gen.G76c3,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.9957945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G75c2,955$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,216.251,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed KT Rolster53c2,931$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.2539246.4%182 W · 210 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfe…d2d0backed Gen.G2c2,900$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.63333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+84.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed KT Rolster26c2,867$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,121.4332440.4%131 W · 193 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7689…af2abacked Gen.G8c2,800$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23317535.4%62 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccba…ffb0backed KT Rolster39c2,675$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.51333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Rolster69c2,598$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.292,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked KT Rolster49c2,551$1,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.5585046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Gen.G3c2,502$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.476297%44 W · 585 L-2.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed Gen.G75c2,478$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.2511243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1380…673ebacked KT Rolster26c2,433$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.08742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+103.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x406d…5298backed Gen.G75c2,427$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.9414363.6%91 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Gen.G68c2,400$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,623.9523657.2%135 W · 101 L-15.6wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed KT Rolster79c2,364$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.446855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03f…9429backed KT Rolster29c2,311$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.7214324.5%35 W · 108 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked KT Rolster25c2,245$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.967250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed KT Rolster39c2,241$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.6213418.7%25 W · 109 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57f9…895dbacked KT Rolster68c2,234$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.410954.1%59 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed KT Rolster38c2,220$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.2817041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Gen.G64c2,175$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.2152650.8%267 W · 259 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a7…9751backed Gen.G44c2,009$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.274557.8%26 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed KT Rolster48c2,001$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.6555639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Gen.G1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick1cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed KT Rolster23c1,985$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.221,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gen.G40c1,910$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.8676142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6be4…1f20backed KT Rolster24c1,792$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.252747.6%251 W · 276 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed KT Rolster71c1,790$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.165158.8%30 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked KT Rolster49c1,787$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.041,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed KT Rolster51c1,773$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.7969539.1%272 W · 423 L-36.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78de…b08bbacked Gen.G75c1,749$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.441464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked KT Rolster56c1,737$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.982044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gen.G42c1,671$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.541,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed KT Rolster79c1,643$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.944170.7%29 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Gen.G74c1,615$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.8396250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57d…0670backed Gen.G53c1,584$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.3111631%36 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed KT Rolster25c1,580$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.9947533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Gen.G76c1,577$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.4979653.1%423 W · 373 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Gen.G1c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed Gen.G65c1,491$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.212437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked KT Rolster26c1,433$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.452,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed KT Rolster42c1,417$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.911,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked KT Rolster70c1,403$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.862259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Gen.G51c1,400$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71482554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Gen.G75c1,378$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.521,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Gen.G74c1,334$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.0633456%187 W · 147 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G39c1,291$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5495041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed Gen.G39c1,246$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.86033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed Gen.G48c1,219$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.6726246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4b…1928backed Gen.G21c1,200$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503850%19 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed KT Rolster22c1,179$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.6544335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked KT Rolster62c1,144$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.651,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Gen.G75c1,114$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.161,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Gen.G63c1,105$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.9826645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed KT Rolster26c1,103$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.948852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Gen.G55c1,095$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.5416254.9%89 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed Gen.G55c1,068$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.7440435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gen.G33c1,061$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.882,31139.4%910 W · 1,401 L-83.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked KT Rolster25c1,051$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.887847.4%37 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Gen.G48c1,022$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6143539.5%172 W · 263 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Gen.G1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1317610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Gen.G75c1,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Gen.G2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gen.G74c1,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Gen.G75c999.55$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.6696057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.