Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9a27785d41d0704e20b5a2a59fe0baf60aeca3b37c07fce8cca20a868b7297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 64c | 30,761$19,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,966.68 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Over | 39c | 16,287$6,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 32c | 2,971$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.57 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Over | 32c | 1,995$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.35 | 190 | 42.1%80 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Over | 32c | 1,825$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.15 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 32c | 1,799$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.61 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Over | 32c | 1,799$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.52 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Over | 32c | 1,101$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Over | 32c | 881.26$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Over | 32c | 614.85$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.75 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Over | 45c | 604.38$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.97 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 32c | 299.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 32c | 297.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 32c | 153.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Over | 32c | 153.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Over | 32c | 150.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 32c | 99.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 35c | 49.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)KT Rolster won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.