Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b04aa7f8bb66c2c59c67389719e05b2e44a35a7c0d2b52d81fb3dfd6f9a5bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 54c | 5,391$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.64 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Over | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.2 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Over | 46c | 1,620$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 47c | 1,028$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.87 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 53c | 499.94$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 341.94$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 309.91$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…2998backed Over | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb1…b580backed Over | 47c | 290.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 62c | 255.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked Over | 38c | 194.51$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 51c | 153.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 136.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 43c | 107.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d1…936fbacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…ff05backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 56c | 85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdde…30e0backed Over | 47c | 84.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 44c | 83.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 162 | 40.7%66 W · 96 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 34c | 72.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Under | 66c | 65.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…3b2fbacked Over | 47c | 64.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -9.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 31c | 61.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…0eb8backed Over | 47c | 60.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Over | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over | 43c | 58.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 422 | 50%211 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 30c | 57.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Over | 50c | 54.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 53c | 53.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81cf…9227backed Under | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089a…5729backed Over | 49c | 41.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b9…aa71backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 61c | 33.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 33.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 45c | 29.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Under | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Gen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.