TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof Gen.G, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x509d…0a6bbacked Gen.G41c9,999$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.1367056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed T158c4,883$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.241,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked T136c2,437$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.652,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked T159c1,653$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T148c1,568$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.471,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed Gen.G42c1,544$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.715139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Gen.G48c1,469$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed Gen.G42c1,412$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.0219157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed Gen.G48c1,361$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9224359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Gen.G42c1,149$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.4532145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed T158c999.92$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9557945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Gen.G40c998.02$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.812,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed T160c973.51$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.6686144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked T159c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.72259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed T159c826.61$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.78852.3%46 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed T159c741.3$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.3739447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked T156c702.52$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.178050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed T159c682.78$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8475738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked T159c629.79$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5838850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Gen.G40c611.29$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.781,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Gen.G49c581.81$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0311127.9%31 W · 80 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c31…b74fbacked T160c559.16$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.54526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Gen.G42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.586048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Gen.G42c441.51$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0826448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed T162c430.94$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.913056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Gen.G41c409.32$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.51,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked T159c395.02$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.0626859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked T148c315.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1911244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Gen.G50c312.34$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1711840.7%48 W · 70 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed T158c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17429240.1%117 W · 175 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Gen.G66c298.59$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.729459.6%56 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Gen.G46c267.75$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8833143.8%145 W · 186 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b0…38c4backed T159c260.98$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.989643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce7…81a3backed T159c259.44$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.0711645.7%53 W · 63 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked T150c252.21$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2714228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked T159c247.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3115756.7%89 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed T159c240.73$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.038640.7%35 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed T159c231.61$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.145644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed Gen.G42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2918849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bd…f2bdbacked Gen.G43c224.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.189635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ff…f93abacked T159c219.61$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Gen.G43c213.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2682161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed T135c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T159c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Gen.G40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12063646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked T159c170.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5523649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc995…a06dbacked T159c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Gen.G42c148.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3940237.8%152 W · 250 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a9…c9a5backed T159c145.57$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.882040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed T18c140.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2220028%56 W · 144 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed T140c137.65$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.751827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed T159c137.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.149546.3%44 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Gen.G40c131.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.662,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Gen.G50c124.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8424656.1%138 W · 108 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…2ac1backed Gen.G40c120.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59cc…b1babacked T159c116.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.017750.6%39 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked T162c110.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3916555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked T150c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5582044%361 W · 459 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked T159c107.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.421140.8%86 W · 125 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f21…653cbacked T159c104.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.598737.9%33 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked T159c99.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5330255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed T160c80.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3139445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fa…013abacked Gen.G61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.223748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff16…804ebacked T161c80.05$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8313849.3%68 W · 70 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed T158c79.93$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.364438.6%17 W · 27 L-7.3wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-21.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc667…0359backed T159c74.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.675541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf978…8c64backed Gen.G41c73.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.173458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5345…dd4abacked T159c70.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.472055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Gen.G40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eac…6f05backed T159c69.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.29540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Gen.G42c68.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9616352.1%85 W · 78 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5db…b42dbacked T159c64.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811859.3%70 W · 48 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2387…2a96backed T140c60.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.111631%36 W · 80 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9f…ab5abacked T159c57.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.185328.3%15 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Gen.G42c57.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7151247.3%242 W · 270 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a04…6cb7backed T159c57.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.075152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1c…e369backed Gen.G42c57.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3221546%99 W · 116 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Gen.G42c55.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4984360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Gen.G42c54.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5715148.3%73 W · 78 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed T159c50.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0112349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe14f…8581backed T158c50.42$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.244753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Gen.G40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa357…ec9abacked T159c46.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed T163c46.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3311651.7%60 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T158c46.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf1…8506backed T159c43.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.635438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa3f…233cbacked T159c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.397347.9%35 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed T159c41.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2213239.4%52 W · 80 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked T160c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed T159c39.52$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.321,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab4…20e3backed T159c39.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.235147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Gen.G37c37.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.786251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Gen.G42c34.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9949346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b05…7b7dbacked T159c34.12$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.133138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f00…6628backed T159c33.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee1a…f499backed T159c32.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.345250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked T161c32.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5311851.7%61 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed Gen.G46c31.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1431750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked T149c31.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4424959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed Gen.G67c29.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6350647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.