TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3f00…6628

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$13.4
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.57
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.77
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$9.94
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24.71
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$83.52
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$13.79
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$65.99
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+119.5%+$32.07
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$38.95
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$8.86
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.78
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$128.36
All 20 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.58
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.87
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.01
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+76%+$15.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Iva Jovic vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.