Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbaecadd9d7e2f7f69f5389be4e21141ece5d72ec501e7e43f6ed6bc5ba5898c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Dignitas, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd812…2558backed Dignitas | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 211 | 37%78 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 14,325$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,163.78 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Dignitas | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.98 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 10,075$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.88 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 10,010$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.65 | 950 | 41.6%395 W · 555 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 9,990$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.01 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 9,014$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.35 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Dignitas | 37c | 8,760$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.99 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 8,398$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.75 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 6,276$3,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.13 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 6,172$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.12 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 5,995$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.03 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Dignitas | 50c | 5,490$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.57 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 5,154$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.92 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Dignitas | 50c | 5,100$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Dignitas | 53c | 5,000$2,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.44 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Dignitas | 50c | 4,599$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Dignitas | 53c | 4,257$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256.21 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 3,795$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.36 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5588backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 3,552$2,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.71 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 3,430$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.13 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 3,428$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.34 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 3,311$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.77 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…43b7backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 3,200$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.12 | 129 | 70.5%91 W · 38 L | +16.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Dignitas | 42c | 2,944$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.17 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Dignitas | 32c | 2,854$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.64 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 2,412$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.8 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 48c | 2,284$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.79 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Dignitas | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…0670backed Dignitas | 21c | 1,995$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.72 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Dignitas | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Dignitas | 42c | 1,772$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.08 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 1,733$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.32 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 1,727$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.03 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Dignitas | 49c | 1,655$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.64 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Dignitas | 24c | 1,618$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.06 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Dignitas | 51c | 1,311$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.66 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…18b4backed Shopify Rebellion | 61c | 1,233$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.27 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Dignitas | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Dignitas | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas | 40c | 1,173$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.3 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Dignitas | 50c | 1,135$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.5 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…4129backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 1,100$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Dignitas | 51c | 1,018$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.1 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Dignitas | 60c | 1,010$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e8…f78fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 1,000$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.98 | 43 | 83.7%36 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…140bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,000$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Dignitas | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 173 | 39.3%68 W · 105 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Dignitas | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dignitas | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Dignitas | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dignitas | 36c | 906.85$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.82 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Dignitas | 24c | 899.99$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas | 42c | 863.82$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.21 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 841.19$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…7b35backed Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 835.75$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.95 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 80c | 813.33$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…8137backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 810.51$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.45 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Dignitas | 52c | 809.67$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.9 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Dignitas | 43c | 800$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Dignitas | 56c | 800$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.32 | 450 | 41.1%185 W · 265 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…4489backed Dignitas | 38c | 799.51$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dignitas | 39c | 799$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.11 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shopify Rebellion | 52c | 774$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Dignitas | 49c | 764.87$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 749.98$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Dignitas | 51c | 728.47$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Dignitas | 24c | 697.02$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.57 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…af2abacked Dignitas | 2c | 692.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Dignitas | 48c | 654.17$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…fe97backed Dignitas | 12c | 642.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 631.48$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.48 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27a…d8c4backed Shopify Rebellion | 66c | 601.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.27 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Dignitas | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…416ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…4ab3backed Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Dignitas | 37c | 565.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Dignitas | 19c | 531.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 525.64$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…fadebacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 522.78$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.73 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Dignitas | 40c | 500.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Dignitas | 45c | 499.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Shopify Rebellion | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…3668backed Shopify Rebellion | 41c | 435.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.72 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas | 48c | 422.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Shopify Rebellion | 47c | 421.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x537d…615bbacked Dignitas | 39c | 410.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Dignitas | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Dignitas | 33c | 385$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 381$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Dignitas | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 571 | 51.5%294 W · 277 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Dignitas | 46c | 357.26$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.44 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group StageShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.