Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50a194afcb8b96a528009cac0fcccfd81b05b8a1a63cfe7c6a03641809d3d24c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellionof Dignitas, Shopify Rebellion
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Dignitas | 0c | 44,643$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Dignitas | 44c | 20,298$8,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,991.79 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Dignitas | 46c | 15,213$6,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929.4 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 8,209$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.56 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 8,100$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.42 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Dignitas | 15c | 7,800$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.96 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Dignitas | 50c | 6,714$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.68 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 5,154$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.64 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Dignitas | 28c | 4,940$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.89 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 72c | 4,737$3,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.59 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Shopify Rebellion | 50c | 4,267$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.56 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Dignitas | 33c | 4,238$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.67 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | +18.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dignitas | 38c | 4,073$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.77 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Dignitas | 10c | 4,000$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 3,802$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.43 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Shopify Rebellion | 60c | 3,382$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Shopify Rebellion | 51c | 3,309$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.93 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 3,200$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 3,153$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.09 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 3,012$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.15 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 2,978$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 73c | 2,849$2,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.08 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Dignitas | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 2,263$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.09 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 2,210$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.81 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dignitas | 17c | 2,077$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.24 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 2,068$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.57 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 1,999$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.65 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Dignitas | 49c | 1,999$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.11 | 338 | 57.1%193 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 1,863$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.25 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Shopify Rebellion | 69c | 1,577$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.3 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shopify Rebellion | 71c | 1,539$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.08 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 1,267$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.96 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 62c | 1,220$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Dignitas | 35c | 1,137$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.18 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shopify Rebellion | 68c | 1,101$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.17 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 1,086$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.56 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…e12dbacked Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 1,025$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 1,010$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.3 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 952.13$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.03 | 761 | 42%320 W · 441 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 906.3$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.45 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Dignitas | 38c | 866.77$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dignitas | 47c | 862.56$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…6eacbacked Dignitas | 3c | 853.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +222.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shopify Rebellion | 77c | 822.4$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.75 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shopify Rebellion | 55c | 777$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 750.15$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Dignitas | 49c | 735.37$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.21 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…ce52backed Dignitas | 48c | 730.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Dignitas | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dignitas | 31c | 650$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 643.2$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 443 | 35.4%157 W · 286 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Dignitas | 41c | 636.68$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 611.78$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 605.36$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.36 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Dignitas | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shopify Rebellion | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed Dignitas | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Dignitas | 41c | 599.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Shopify Rebellion | 64c | 591.64$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.67 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Shopify Rebellion | 56c | 569.27$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.21 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Dignitas | 31c | 547.72$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dignitas | 26c | 508.76$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Dignitas | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 483.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.01 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shopify Rebellion | 75c | 471.11$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.09 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 433.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.48 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Dignitas | 47c | 432.25$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.16 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed Dignitas | 20c | 431.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Dignitas | 48c | 399.63$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Shopify Rebellion | 54c | 372.22$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.22 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Dignitas | 25c | 369.44$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Dignitas | 48c | 326.89$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.91 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Shopify Rebellion | 49c | 319.99$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 316$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.72 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…3d09backed Dignitas | 46c | 306$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Shopify Rebellion | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…7e98backed Dignitas | 22c | 286.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Dignitas | 43c | 271$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 266$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 258$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab6…4f45backed Shopify Rebellion | 79c | 256$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Dignitas | 43c | 252$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…20a2backed Dignitas | 9c | 251.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Shopify Rebellion | 59c | 240.34$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Dignitas | 47c | 239$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Dignitas | 46c | 237$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Dignitas | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Shopify Rebellion | 58c | 222$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Dignitas | 28c | 217.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Dignitas | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79a…090cbacked Dignitas | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Shopify Rebellion | 63c | 200.92$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dignitas | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Dignitas | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 131 | 26%34 W · 97 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Dignitas | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagethis page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: SR (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
- LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.