TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb79a…090c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: World Politics, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Sean O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.5
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Bo Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Linsbacked Lins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$150.48
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.93
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.06
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Nate Landwehr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.71
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Joe Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Maycee Barber · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.8
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$30
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$80
UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+203%+$20.61
UFC 323: Moreno vs. Taira (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Moreno · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UFC 323: Cejudo vs. Talbott (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$103.99
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$140.13
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+217.5%+$36.31
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+153.4%+$53.84
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+263%+$90.75
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+64.2%+$64.2
Rams vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
LoL: LYON vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Dignitas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.07
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+41.3%+$104.08
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$587Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.3%+$459.89
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$59
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+100%+$40
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$217.46
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$91.11
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Will Croatia win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$50.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$220
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.