UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b30bb4722d5751f2d0ecdada66c6066a3e727b84ff212a7f7b666542e361a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joe Pyferof Israel Adesanya, Joe Pyfer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,149,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,163,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,149,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 325,054$182,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,030.14 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 238,289$104,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133,789.29 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 176,580$77,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,884.79 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 150,237$65,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,660.1 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 150,000$84,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,000.25 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 136,200$59,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,272 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 129,999$57,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,799.71 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 100,017$43,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,009.88 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 83,179$36,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,580.46 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 81,000$45,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,360 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 67,395$37,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,486.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 58,966$32,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,736.14 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 50,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,200 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 40,771$17,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,831.74 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 35,199$15,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,168.3 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 34,254$19,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,471.53 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 31,000$17,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,564.87 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 29,616$13,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,584.96 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 29,480$13,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,479.22 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 27,924$12,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,637.44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Joe Pyfer | 43c | 25,930$11,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,779.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 23,582$10,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,323.62 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 23,555$13,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,135.01 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…99acbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 22,742$12,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,962.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe93…3638backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 15,659$8,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,890 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 14,498$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,062.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…f426backed Israel Adesanya | 1c | 14,320$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 14,286$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 13,600$7,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,715.94 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 12,848$7,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.39 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 12,537$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,020.81 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 12,448$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 12,000$6,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,719.79 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 11,930$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 10,658$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.28 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 10,175$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…db6bbacked Israel Adesanya | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8556…fad9backed Israel Adesanya | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.97 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Joe Pyfer | 43c | 9,500$4,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,375.86 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 9,487$4,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.72 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 9,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…b04bbacked Israel Adesanya | 66c | 8,916$5,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,847.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Joe Pyfer | 42c | 8,392$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,838.67 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 8,137$4,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 8,018$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…7a8bbacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 7,922$4,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,436.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 7,900$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 7,768$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 7,705$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,314.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joe Pyfer | 34c | 7,462$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.46 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,818.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 6,766$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.69 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Joe Pyfer | 45c | 6,431$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.57 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Joe Pyfer | 38c | 6,163$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.98 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 5,728$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Joe Pyfer | 48c | 5,686$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.32 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Joe Pyfer | 45c | 5,590$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Israel Adesanya | 58c | 5,443$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 5,378$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.84 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 5,191$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…51cebacked Joe Pyfer | 43c | 4,859$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Joe Pyfer | 44c | 4,815$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.46 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bc…3533backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 4,590$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 4,398$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ba…bbb6backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 4,046$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.41 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Israel Adesanya | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Israel Adesanya | 64c | 4,000$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.22 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…75e0backed Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,906$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…2b64backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 3,743$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 3,675$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Joe Pyfer | 44c | 3,619$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f22…6482backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 3,600$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Israel Adesanya | 56c | 3,600$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Israel Adesanya | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 3,554$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.15 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3721…1903backed Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,528$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…d376backed Israel Adesanya | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.24 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed2…4671backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 3,460$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.8 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…decfbacked Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,438$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.03 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…dc26backed Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,395$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Joe Pyfer | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,280$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…b959backed Israel Adesanya | 58c | 3,256$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf398…a9b1backed Joe Pyfer | 43c | 3,240$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Israel Adesanya | 34c | 3,235$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Israel Adesanya win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Joe Pyfer win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.