Us Politics · resolved market
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1d2cd56624ec8bb3d8115d50d503d0e8578bf32d754ad5fe3c0e08a73186c57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,760,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,000,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,760,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,619 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked No | 72c | 458,869$330,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,739.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 70c | 171,259$120,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,118.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Yes | 26c | 101,488$26,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,887.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 28c | 89,362$25,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,113.44 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 58c | 82,284$48,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,208.1 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…9640backed No | 72c | 81,779$59,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,752.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…d46abacked Yes | 25c | 76,541$19,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,408.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aac…1b36backed No | 72c | 70,990$50,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,073.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed No | 74c | 65,837$48,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,009.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 10c | 62,164$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,473.87 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed No | 73c | 58,505$42,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,953.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed No | 73c | 57,342$41,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,728.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 27c | 57,246$15,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,410.51 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…afe7backed No | 76c | 48,826$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,826.48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes | 35c | 48,120$16,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,968.86 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…a780backed No | 70c | 43,322$30,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,792.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 25c | 37,950$9,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,498.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…46b2backed Yes | 28c | 37,019$10,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,409.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 70c | 35,336$24,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,601.17 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…c4edbacked Yes | 30c | 34,608$10,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,247.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 75c | 33,575$25,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,277.88 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 68c | 32,736$22,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,574.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Yes | 25c | 32,439$8,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,181.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 27c | 31,567$8,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,412.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked Yes | 43c | 31,420$13,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,374.55 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…6a54backed No | 75c | 31,280$23,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,710.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 63c | 28,758$18,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,728.72 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…0dc7backed Yes | 26c | 28,524$7,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…7b80backed No | 71c | 27,811$19,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,201.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…52cfbacked No | 71c | 26,443$18,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,612 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f8…7737backed Yes | 27c | 26,000$6,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,982.36 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…4cdebacked No | 80c | 25,367$20,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,196.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bca…ca1fbacked No | 74c | 25,345$18,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 73c | 23,606$17,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd67…fb31backed Yes | 23c | 23,461$5,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 76c | 22,780$17,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,471.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…5933backed Yes | 21c | 19,862$4,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9daf…af52backed Yes | 27c | 19,403$5,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6276…2dd9backed No | 75c | 18,673$14,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 18,282$5,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,822.66 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 25c | 18,000$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,549.98 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Yes | 28c | 17,857$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 73c | 17,767$12,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,771.75 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed No | 77c | 17,000$13,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1d…77ffbacked Yes | 30c | 16,619$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…3d19backed Yes | 26c | 16,147$4,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,174 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…fff0backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 29c | 15,989$4,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.27 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 25c | 15,932$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,921.76 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked No | 77c | 15,380$11,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…8070backed No | 76c | 15,000$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed No | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32b…e813backed Yes | 38c | 14,989$5,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 0c | 14,499$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 27c | 14,491$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.17 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…5324backed No | 79c | 14,289$11,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…73cfbacked Yes | 28c | 14,267$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 68c | 14,138$9,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.03 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed No | 69c | 13,931$9,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked No | 75c | 13,500$10,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfd…6e4abacked Yes | 23c | 13,324$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 69c | 13,032$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,032.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…aff6backed No | 68c | 13,000$8,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…2ab0backed No | 71c | 12,816$9,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,722.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 43c | 12,775$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.27 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…adc5backed No | 79c | 12,669$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 73c | 12,387$9,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,357.99 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…f0bcbacked No | 74c | 11,967$8,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 73c | 11,939$8,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 70c | 11,809$8,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…7196backed Yes | 24c | 11,702$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,797.81 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9654…a94ebacked No | 69c | 11,597$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,594.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 69c | 11,000$7,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.41 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 22c | 10,985$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.78 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ed…07eabacked No | 64c | 10,856$7,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,855.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed No | 75c | 10,854$8,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45b…57ccbacked Yes | 29c | 10,525$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf84…703cbacked No | 80c | 10,257$8,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.34 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd833…df12backed Yes | 27c | 10,250$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 23c | 10,183$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…b1b3backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked No | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…ed50backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…7119backed Yes | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.55 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…0f79backed Yes | 39c | 9,991$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b1…accfbacked No | 76c | 9,923$7,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,374.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed No | 58c | 9,771$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…503cbacked Yes | 32c | 9,742$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,134.38 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 9,706$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.63 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 75c | 9,679$7,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 51c | 9,677$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,966.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c15…c2e6backed Yes | 32c | 9,238$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed No | 75c | 9,145$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed No | 76c | 8,958$6,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.75 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…12e7backed No | 67c | 8,915$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…ef62backed Yes | 27c | 8,733$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 30c | 8,610$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 73c | 8,606$6,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.45 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.