TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7eb…eb13

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-80.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.03
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.11
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$6.02
Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$58.59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.58
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.28
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.69
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 6% and 9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.11
Will the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.09
Will the Jatiya Party finish with the third most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.58
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+65.4%+$49.43
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$44.9
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.21
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$24.56
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$364.78
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.03
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.18
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.38
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$54.1
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on April 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$4.24
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$5.91
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$29.23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 30 above $175?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$15.6
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 30 above $560?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$7.67
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$35.36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.78
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.66
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.36
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40%+$4.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.31
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42%+$4.84
Will Google reach $320 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.85
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $580?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$3.07
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$41
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $151?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.22
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $395-$400 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $175-$180 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.54
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+115.7%+$14.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.46
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+128%+$180.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$40.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.73
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-3.7wins-0.47per pick72cpaid-65.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-69.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-66.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+1,328.6%+$676.95
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+119.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+338.5%+$79.28
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+102.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+305.6%+$200.02
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$654.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.08
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$217.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$77.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.