NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd223dc566edfa4c9676ea19c46606d87065d1fb0d28b72ab404308fe85118844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $687,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $702,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $687,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Stars | 49c | 167,001$81,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,188.85 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 51c | 121,697$62,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,065.31 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Stars | 48c | 68,000$32,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,359.98 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 48c | 53,146$25,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,655.62 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Capitals | 52c | 47,371$24,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,632.89 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Capitals | 0c | 40,477$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 46c | 23,579$10,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,685.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Capitals | 52c | 19,173$9,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.07 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Capitals | 55c | 18,692$10,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,280.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Stars | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.05 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Capitals | 53c | 10,750$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.5 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Capitals | 51c | 10,657$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.64 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Capitals | 55c | 10,563$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.57 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 51c | 9,980$5,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,089.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Capitals | 52c | 9,962$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.49 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Capitals | 52c | 8,246$4,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.7 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Capitals | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Capitals | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Capitals | 54c | 5,949$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.08 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 14c | 5,636$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.04 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 0c | 5,554$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Capitals | 51c | 5,536$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.36 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Stars | 45c | 5,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Capitals | 26c | 5,448$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.33 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 44c | 5,418$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,034.23 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Capitals | 12c | 5,214$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.26 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Capitals | 51c | 5,121$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611.67 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Capitals | 54c | 5,014$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.78 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Capitals | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Stars | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…988ebacked Capitals | 55c | 4,976$2,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Capitals | 55c | 4,898$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.73 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…df78backed Capitals | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.88 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -13.5wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Capitals | 55c | 4,540$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 45c | 3,925$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.66 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Stars | 46c | 3,562$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.86 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Capitals | 51c | 3,500$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Stars | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.97 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Capitals | 55c | 3,346$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Capitals | 51c | 3,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Stars | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Capitals | 53c | 2,935$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.64 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Capitals | 52c | 2,630$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.6 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 59c | 2,330$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,279$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.81 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 46c | 2,244$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.32 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Capitals | 52c | 2,125$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Capitals | 52c | 2,110$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Stars | 50c | 2,105$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.46 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Capitals | 51c | 2,078$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.78 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Stars | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Capitals | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Stars | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.97 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Stars | 45c | 1,962$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 51c | 1,931$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.88 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Capitals | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 53c | 1,740$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.18 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Capitals | 53c | 1,535$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.53 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Capitals | 38c | 1,498$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.26 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…eb89backed Stars | 63c | 1,457$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…f570backed Capitals | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4c…a3a1backed Stars | 45c | 1,366$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Capitals | 51c | 1,334$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.34 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Stars | 49c | 1,332$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 49c | 1,316$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.12 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…bfa6backed Capitals | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Capitals | 25c | 1,270$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Capitals | 52c | 1,246$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Capitals | 51c | 1,246$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.46 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Stars | 49c | 1,233$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…496dbacked Stars | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…c0fcbacked Stars | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…5a5cbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,195$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…5442backed Stars | 48c | 1,195$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…5d02backed Stars | 48c | 1,185$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02da…91e7backed Stars | 48c | 1,175$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…0b03backed Capitals | 55c | 1,164$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…92fbbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…db5bbacked Stars | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce7…8cedbacked Stars | 48c | 1,155$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…746ebacked Capitals | 52c | 1,155$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…7e51backed Stars | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…e7e4backed Capitals | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…fad1backed Stars | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc02f…8fbbbacked Capitals | 52c | 1,150$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…27dfbacked Stars | 48c | 1,150$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241b…ce76backed Capitals | 52c | 1,145$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f1…8939backed Stars | 48c | 1,145$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…ea25backed Stars | 48c | 1,140$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…bca2backed Capitals | 52c | 1,140$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d6…3882backed Capitals | 52c | 1,130$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…9fefbacked Stars | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…a80abacked Capitals | 52c | 1,130$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…9ed7backed Stars | 48c | 1,130$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Stars | 49c | 1,118$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.96 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Capitalsthis page
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Stars vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.