TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,860,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,311,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,860,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 763 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1df1…aa1ebacked Yes80c202,311$161,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,849.26366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No21c151,500$31,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,832.0620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No20c150,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00018950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Yes80c107,780$86,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,555.948962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No20c63,044$12,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,607.1631944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No21c51,860$10,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,890.67542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No21c43,300$9,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,093.0310335%36 W · 67 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No20c43,204$8,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,696.2824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c39,201$31,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,186.561,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes79c35,310$28,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.11,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c27,724$5,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,821.6610236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No21c23,800$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.9619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes79c21,125$16,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,436.211050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4813…ae12backed No22c18,161$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.231020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No20c17,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4005337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked No21c15,771$3,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,311.941650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.996137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cb7…3b83backed Yes80c14,474$11,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,894.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…292ebacked No19c13,878$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked No19c13,454$2,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.457945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes79c12,700$10,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,66711349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea66…68ffbacked No18c12,362$2,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.39825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d80…cd30backed Yes80c12,020$9,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4041154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No21c11,879$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.561,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No21c10,335$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.395054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No20c10,064$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.882832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1003336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No21c9,764$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.522123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed No21c8,858$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.212133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb737…98b9backed Yes79c8,207$6,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.561764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf7e…339abacked Yes80c7,602$6,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.583151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No20c7,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003745.9%17 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No21c6,690$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4057035.7%25 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed No21c6,368$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.231827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes80c6,280$5,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.951957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Yes80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2505646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed No27c6,184$1,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No20c6,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No4c5,881$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23310042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes79c5,874$4,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.871,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No21c5,495$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.955271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes79c5,400$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.8214254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked No21c5,290$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1112458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes79c5,253$4,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.1613449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No16c5,032$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.182,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb4…96b0backed Yes80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdccd…a16bbacked No19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1822…804cbacked Yes79c5,000$3,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No23c4,861$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.743473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes80c4,849$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.751540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc147…eb45backed No18c4,642$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked No17c4,500$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74516737.7%63 W · 104 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c0f…c804backed No18c4,245$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked No21c4,229$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8886744.8%30 W · 37 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No21c4,186$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8792548%12 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88010148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes79c4,000$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes78c3,987$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.147754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5b…ce8fbacked No18c3,977$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes80c3,964$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.8612345.5%56 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No9c3,839$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.861,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No19c3,800$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7188747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes80c3,750$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.2311855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Yes79c3,626$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No21c3,198$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.626043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x387d…bd5fbacked No18c3,153$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No21c3,146$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.1121965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6ced…ac2cbacked No18c3,069$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a3…bd26backed Yes79c3,040$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.41662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No22c3,030$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.66139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4290…5515backed No18c3,017$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6302755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006046.7%28 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes80c2,998$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.511052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1578…e4f9backed No18c2,935$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No21c2,917$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.951,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8c…4389backed No18c2,893$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes80c2,862$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.47850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes79c2,658$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.23862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No22c2,600$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9911162.2%69 W · 42 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc60…02fcbacked No18c2,588$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.654240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.652544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes79c2,530$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.9349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No19c2,520$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.997149.3%35 W · 36 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5822…629cbacked Yes79c2,520$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2f…8d38backed Yes80c2,513$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.82544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes79c2,500$1,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52520646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5008259.8%49 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No21c2,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52572249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes79c2,424$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Yes79c2,399$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.735745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No20c2,387$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.364141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes78c2,312$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.714450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes79c2,194$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No21c2,191$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.141723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.