Premier League · resolved market
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe441035e6cbd434283ccea7364d9f0882f5b6423d0ada428c09fa7c78a1794f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79e6…b1c2backed Yes | 4c | 16,256$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 15,387$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,430$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.09 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 2c | 7,519$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…964ebacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,455$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 8c | 2,913$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2909…ba8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…9920backed Yes | 8c | 1,561$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 6c | 1,494$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,164$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…5309backed Yes | 8c | 802.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 8c | 777$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 2c | 725$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 7c | 699.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 674.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…53ecbacked Yes | 8c | 630.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…4ef8backed Yes | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 8c | 506.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a50…650abacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 382.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…afd4backed Yes | 7c | 380$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…5ba1backed Yes | 8c | 310.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 7c | 300.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…75a4backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 67cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Yes | 8c | 275$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…7deabacked Yes | 8c | 249.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…c2bfbacked Yes | 8c | 225$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 7c | 214.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…12bebacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc048…8583backed Yes | 7c | 149.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd452…bb1abacked Yes | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…dac8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…21f9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722b…af42backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.