Premier League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x312653831aa558bbb4e33eb9a0e12bbc561fc321a70c2b5c4fa5a5e7c62cd4bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 14c | 5,007$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…af6ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 13c | 3,107$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 14c | 2,800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…c75bbacked Yes | 11c | 2,737$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 14c | 2,270$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.81 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,080$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…26d6backed Yes | 16c | 1,502$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,289$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 14c | 1,221$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 13c | 1,004$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.52 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…fd34backed Yes | 16c | 818.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 11c | 449.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 18c | 351.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 8c | 339$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Yes | 11c | 324.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 13c | 287.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 14c | 270$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…729ebacked Yes | 10c | 270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…61afbacked Yes | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…0af7backed Yes | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 217.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 11c | 216.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 14c | 216$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6531…d38fbacked Yes | 10c | 209.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…44c1backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…54febacked Yes | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 13c | 116.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 18c | 111.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9a…c2bfbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…4ef0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4120…153dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 13c | 91.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 12c | 87.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 83.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.