TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf7e…339a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,344
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Leeds United FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+46.6%+$1,097.14
Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,173.91
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+194.7%+$1,981.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$360.46
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+48.9%+$1,469.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,078Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+215.3%+$4,473.61
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$362.07
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,049Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25.7%+$1,552.58
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,771Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+63.9%+$2,411.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+32.4%+$355.7
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Birmingham City FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.7%+$54.76
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,530Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+117.4%+$2,970
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Joburg Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+27.6%+$583.08
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+43.7%+$1,004.63
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5,560.53
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,315Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+55.8%+$2,408.04
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+34.9%+$1,397.94
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+53.1%+$1,171.67
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+134.6%+$2,960.61
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+90.2%+$932.59
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.6%+$527.41
ILT20: Sharjah Warriorz vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)backed Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$73.92
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed MI Cape Town · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+74.9%+$2,096.26
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Sydney Sixers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$500
ILT20: Gulf Giants vs MI Emirates (Game 1)backed MI Emirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+46%+$1,003.86
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1)backed Abu Dhabi Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$700
Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Brisbane Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
ILT20: Dubai Capitals vs Gulf Giants (Game 1)backed Dubai Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+35.8%+$715.99
ILT20: Desert Vipers vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1)backed Desert Vipers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+54%+$269.87
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+37.9%+$530.75
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$2,587.83
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,000
Jaguars vs. Colts: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$2,500
Texans vs. Chargers: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+103.4%+$3,101.38
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Lions (-7.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,542Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$4,542.01
Cowboys vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Steelers vs. Lions: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+61.9%+$1,855.79
Bengals vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$900
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+37.2%+$372.36
Eagles vs. Commanders: 1H O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+67.8%+$1,356.65
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,301Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$1,133.24
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,049Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,048.72
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$2,100
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+34%+$271.61
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$3,600
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$375.72
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+28.2%+$733.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.