Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7afca910ec5b2f389b6f675a5be10d953681d0cc4be3a5e6123bbaec49481b68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durban's Super Giantsof Durban's Super Giants, Paarl Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Paarl Royals | 0c | 7,248$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…339abacked Durban's Super Giants | 78c | 2,698$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.08 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paarl Royals | 30c | 2,342$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.72 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Paarl Royals | 54c | 2,285$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.98 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Durban's Super Giants | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Paarl Royals | 45c | 1,124$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.18 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Paarl Royals | 35c | 814.31$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Paarl Royals | 45c | 777.69$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.27 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Durban's Super Giants | 61c | 655.42$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.71 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Durban's Super Giants | 55c | 638.17$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.46 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Paarl Royals | 44c | 532.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.51 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Durban's Super Giants | 59c | 509.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 55c | 495.31$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.31 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 56c | 479.76$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.94 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Paarl Royals | 46c | 403.7$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Paarl Royals | 33c | 358.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Paarl Royals | 49c | 286.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Paarl Royals | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Paarl Royals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 53c | 205$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Paarl Royals | 27c | 150.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Durban's Super Giants | 47c | 150.34$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…fdc0backed Paarl Royals | 19c | 145.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Durban's Super Giants | 57c | 128.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…bfd5backed Paarl Royals | 34c | 119.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…3935backed Paarl Royals | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paarl Royals | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Paarl Royals | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Durban's Super Giants | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Durban's Super Giants | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Paarl Royals | 15c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…905abacked Paarl Royals | 60c | 73.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Paarl Royals | 46c | 67.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x114f…4602backed Durban's Super Giants | 74c | 56.82$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Paarl Royals | 39c | 51.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Durban's Super Giants | 55c | 50.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…b234backed Durban's Super Giants | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa831…b3eebacked Paarl Royals | 39c | 45.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…a151backed Paarl Royals | 48c | 41.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Durban's Super Giants | 53c | 30.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Durban's Super Giants | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Durban's Super Giants | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.