TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e88…b234

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Islanders vs. Wildbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Canadiensbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Ducks vs. Sabresbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Blue Jackets vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Flames vs. Bruinsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. Eisbaeren Berlinbacked Iserlohn Roosters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Dinamo Minskbacked Severstal Cherepovets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avangard Omskbacked Avangard Omsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Admiral Vladivostokbacked Admiral Vladivostok · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.03
SA20: Joburg Super Kings vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+92.3%+$18.72
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.91
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SA20: Pretoria Capitals vs Paarl Royals (Game 1)backed Pretoria Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Durban's Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
International T20 Series: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Big Bash League: Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars (Game 1)backed Melbourne Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$44.52
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$22.55
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3)backed Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Counter-Strike: megoshort vs XI Esport (BO3)backed megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjenbacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.