NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e5c5b26a9aa24e64c6ddc6dc4bf19fc545c806a21de56fc8165f74f9b4f704
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,753,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,773,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,753,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken | 42c | 500,000$210,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,999.94 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wild | 60c | 451,452$271,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179,512.19 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 39c | 317,924$123,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,817.27 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…9ea5backed Wild | 58c | 238,000$138,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Wild | 62c | 189,068$116,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,566.82 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Kraken | 41c | 142,191$57,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,743.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kraken | 40c | 111,379$44,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,565.37 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Wild | 59c | 106,741$62,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,896.72 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Wild | 58c | 63,400$36,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,628 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Wild | 58c | 56,681$32,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,805.89 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 58c | 43,692$25,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,168.34 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kraken | 38c | 39,316$14,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,940.27 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 59c | 28,557$16,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,705.83 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 36c | 27,811$10,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,015.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 58c | 20,823$12,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,733.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kraken | 40c | 18,888$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,555.2 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 58c | 17,500$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kraken | 38c | 16,821$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.02 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 41c | 14,262$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.97 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 59c | 13,842$8,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,731.16 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Wild | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef1…3713backed Wild | 58c | 11,900$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,997.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 59c | 11,613$6,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.23 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Kraken | 42c | 9,560$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 59c | 9,500$5,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,933.99 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Kraken | 44c | 9,096$3,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Wild | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 18c | 7,254$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Kraken | 41c | 6,666$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.73 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 41c | 6,500$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.41 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…4123backed Kraken | 47c | 6,421$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Wild | 59c | 6,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Wild | 58c | 5,200$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +31%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Kraken | 41c | 5,052$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.32 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Wild | 54c | 4,942$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.01 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Kraken | 42c | 4,621$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,923.07 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Kraken | 7c | 4,517$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.62 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 41c | 4,418$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Kraken | 42c | 4,329$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.75 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 39c | 4,018$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.27 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Kraken | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Kraken | 34c | 3,973$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.03 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 59c | 3,626$2,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 41c | 3,561$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 70c | 3,470$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Kraken | 41c | 3,303$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.57 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wild | 61c | 3,271$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.7 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Wild | 72c | 3,053$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.7 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Kraken | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 41c | 2,970$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.7 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Kraken | 39c | 2,907$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,900$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 9c | 2,740$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.26 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Wild | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Kraken | 46c | 2,170$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.19 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Kraken | 27c | 2,149$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.89 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…57bbbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,090$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wild | 63c | 2,007$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.48 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Wild | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Wild | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Kraken | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Kraken | 4c | 1,827$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +14.5wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +218.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Wild | 56c | 1,775$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 41c | 1,641$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.05 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Kraken | 15c | 1,617$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 43c | 1,600$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Kraken | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Kraken | 9c | 1,478$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 41c | 1,459$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.37 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Wild | 59c | 1,440$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Kraken | 45c | 1,415$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild | 76c | 1,409$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 61c | 1,400$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.41 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Kraken | 46c | 1,354$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.85 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 56c | 1,351$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Wild | 68c | 1,350$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.99 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 42c | 1,305$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 61c | 1,294$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.56 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 59c | 1,232$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.75 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Wild | 59c | 1,220$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…84e1backed Kraken | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Kraken | 36c | 1,117$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wild | 61c | 1,103$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.17 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kraken | 41c | 1,101$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.41 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kraken | 3c | 1,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Kraken | 7c | 1,077$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…24fabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wild | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Wild | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Krakenthis page
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Kraken won
- Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.