TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Blues, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$361,370

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blues0c68,137$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1457157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights71c55,311$39,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,118.811,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Golden Knights71c36,816$26,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,744.6616656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights72c21,385$15,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,987.7456649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Blues28c20,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,60032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Blues19c15,055$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.6450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights68c11,657$7,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,737.821,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights74c10,792$7,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,818.41,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Blues30c9,333$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.8433243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Blues29c8,641$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.8817057.6%98 W · 72 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blues21c8,396$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,755.0638738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Blues31c7,978$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5007844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Blues30c7,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Blues28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6803560%21 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues29c5,365$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.971,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blues33c5,242$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,729.9358467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Blues28c5,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues29c4,877$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.571,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…80aebacked Blues33c4,612$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.9532744%144 W · 183 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues32c4,353$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.511,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights69c3,990$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.585464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues0c3,522$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.927450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Blues29c3,209$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.518547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Golden Knights70c3,202$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.4510343.7%45 W · 58 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blues29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.9960337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blues24c2,580$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.012,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Blues1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42fd…4661backed Blues31c2,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.982948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Blues29c1,962$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.386139.3%24 W · 37 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Blues17c1,834$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.3534538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Blues29c1,810$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.8133345.6%152 W · 181 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Blues30c1,801$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Golden Knights71c1,701$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.3922852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights71c1,653$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.3784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Blues43c1,634$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.5612552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Golden Knights72c1,442$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7418345.9%84 W · 99 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ae…4d2cbacked Blues31c1,310$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.547354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights77c1,278$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.991,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights71c1,140$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6845751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights71c1,091$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.612,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…1dd4backed Blues4c1,064$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.063716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Blues29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d4…34c0backed Blues1c1,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1018520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Blues30c1,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29545749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Blues31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Blues28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues30c1,000$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e1…91debacked Blues5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-76.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Blues12c916.94$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4820150.2%101 W · 100 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Blues31c884$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.565959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Golden Knights71c828.62$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.892138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Blues29c802.14$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.627651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7411…a2adbacked Blues31c790.32$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2b…0560backed Blues29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blues10c725$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3299638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.648959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Golden Knights70c628.57$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5731753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Golden Knights70c600.01$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18039047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Blues29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1748941.6%37 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…9634backed Golden Knights70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Blues33c594.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3752172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Blues30c560$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.240049.3%197 W · 203 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Blues33c550.05$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.5114347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Blues28c540$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.210438.5%40 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69d9…9881backed Golden Knights71c521.13$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1330657.8%177 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0192…6995backed Golden Knights74c512.51$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.089668.8%66 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Blues29c476.8$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3529926.4%79 W · 220 L-20.5wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Blues15c467$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5313336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38b…e07abacked Golden Knights58c456.9$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.91258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+40.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb876…a86bbacked Golden Knights58c444.1$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.962937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5440…2f1ebacked Golden Knights70c407.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Blues15c382.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8643742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Golden Knights70c381.57$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.472458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff5…a783backed Blues15c381.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51250%6 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+46.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Blues29c380.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.4311557.4%66 W · 49 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Blues43c350.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018744.9%84 W · 103 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Golden Knights60c348.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5234941.3%144 W · 205 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Blues29c346.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.475036%18 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Blues29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Blues29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights70c340.38$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1193953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bca…d32cbacked Blues31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002060%12 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+71.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked Blues28c320$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Blues29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8758947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Blues28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Blues31c291.19$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2748050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Blues10c288.46$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.539423.4%22 W · 72 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9403…cd0ebacked Blues7c287.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Blues30c275$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.535829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Blues29c266.47$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4335245.2%159 W · 193 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blues8c261.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.811,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc479…e938backed Blues10c259.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511713.7%16 W · 101 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe997…1922backed Blues9c224.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206942%29 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Blues33c218$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.061566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Blues29c210$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2955048.2%265 W · 285 L-11.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfd…2f8ebacked Blues43c209.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Blues29c200.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5822543.6%98 W · 127 L-15.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Blues29c200.01$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5827544%121 W · 154 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Blues29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5853546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.