NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeda80390b1dcfe1047d7a6098c658d3e24b17c64fadfb4fcdbce357bd5d483b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 58c | 10,874$6,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,552.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 8,683$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.13 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 42c | 6,656$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.16 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 46c | 4,082$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.71 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 44c | 3,352$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.69 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 2,110$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.73 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.99 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 46c | 1,024$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.82 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Over | 55c | 648.07$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 47c | 596.13$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 54c | 502.35$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.08 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 55c | 445.45$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.45 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 371.95$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Under | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 16c | 214$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 15c | 180.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 76c | 179.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 66c | 158.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 60c | 154.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfb…f2b1backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 42c | 147$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 145$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 53c | 109.1$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 14c | 105.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 231 | 58%134 W · 97 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 90.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 44c | 80.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 45c | 66.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5b…efbebacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…4fa8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…04d0backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 44c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed Over | 54c | 19.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.