NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc218ca6414c93c1b748a008a42ec1008d29bc65d69aff058e1ef6f6cf1b71b90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 46c | 6,272$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.85 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 57c | 3,508$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.44 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 2,907$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.16 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 2,502$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.38 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 43c | 1,681$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.91 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 43c | 1,179$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.97 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 43c | 977.35$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.26 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 57c | 596.74$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 45c | 442.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 235.37$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Over | 46c | 215.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 43c | 199$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 185.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 180.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.02 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 43c | 178.77$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 57c | 176$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 58c | 95.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 45c | 64.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 24.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
- Blues vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.