NHL · resolved market
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfdbc928b4ef22966a2b7484c61c5a7b7c00f6c0aed5a3fe2e4c0f3a9127a380
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Golden Knights | 50c | 33,607$16,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,848.64 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Blues | 50c | 20,692$10,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,346.07 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 55c | 8,372$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.75 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Blues | 67c | 3,953$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.22 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Golden Knights | 33c | 2,329$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.14 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Blues | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Golden Knights | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,391$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.67 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blues | 51c | 1,145$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.11 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues | 49c | 1,079$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.51 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Blues | 51c | 756.82$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 50c | 647.06$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.71 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 51c | 521.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.71 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 45c | 486.03$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blues | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Blues | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Blues | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Blues | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blues | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Golden Knights | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Golden Knights | 77c | 254.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Blues | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Golden Knights | 47c | 227.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 60c | 217.02$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Golden Knights | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Blues | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Golden Knights | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 196$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Blues | 55c | 176.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Blues | 28c | 156$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blues | 50c | 107.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Blues | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Golden Knights | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…e894backed Blues | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Blues | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…db4abacked Blues | 50c | 66.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Blues | 54c | 62.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Golden Knights | 47c | 59.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a9f7backed Blues | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Golden Knights | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Golden Knights | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Blues | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…a35abacked Golden Knights | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 38.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Blues | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Golden Knights | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Golden Knights | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Blues | 52c | 29.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…82b0backed Golden Knights | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Blues | 47c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e6…fd37backed Blues | 51c | 23.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224d…dd48backed Golden Knights | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Blues vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.