TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f2b…0560

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Dota2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$330
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$450
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$376
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$477
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$185
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25%+$160
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$208
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$139.19
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$105
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$228
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$205
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$287.99
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.2
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$195
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$396
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+58.7%+$332.99
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$796Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$796.03
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$198
Suns vs. Warriorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$455
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$340.3
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$196
Blues vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$217.5
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+47.1%+$192
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$167.98
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+37%+$135
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+54.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+72.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+143.9%+$177
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$312
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$375
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.