TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof Ninjas in Pyjamas, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,501 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7b3…9573backed Ninjas in Pyjamas54c9,899$5,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,300.511,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.22072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…b291backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c6,523$3,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,392.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4cb…4d21backed Team WE46c4,179$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,247.711428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE47c3,500$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8651,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Team WE15c3,333$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,833.331,01147.1%476 W · 535 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE19c3,322$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.0395041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team WE47c3,300$1,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,736.981,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team WE50c2,998$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.2182352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas2c2,977$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.541,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE48c2,311$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.71,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4958…a146backed Team WE48c2,125$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…3eefbacked Team WE48c2,082$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.641855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas50c1,983$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.9627447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c26…69c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas56c1,863$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.171241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Team WE38c1,800$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.2424147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team WE22c1,766$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.012,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Team WE30c1,589$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.9718741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3429…8d19backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c1,510$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd68…c8a7backed Team WE46c1,500$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c1,386$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.152,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas57c1,380$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.185046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team WE49c1,325$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.991,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team WE47c1,300$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.091,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Ninjas in Pyjamas57c1,069$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.6831644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas2c1,006$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7818520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed Team WE50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50043151.3%221 W · 210 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…2c8abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014840.5%60 W · 88 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team WE48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.983,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45929927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc8…fa26backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4591942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2b…0560backed Team WE47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4771435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c891.18$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3313453.7%72 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team WE48c836.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.881,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Team WE20c827.69$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.151,47748.3%713 W · 764 L+45.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf540…cc07backed Team WE25c801$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60115846.8%74 W · 84 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5c…6094backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa033…d7a5backed Team WE45c799.94$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c722.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40031855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas58c680.78$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5713345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Team WE50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30064553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c600$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31640347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Team WE48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31242148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Team WE17c545.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.571,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team WE51c518.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.151,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3b…e573backed Ninjas in Pyjamas51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Ninjas in Pyjamas8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26067549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e4…8672backed Ninjas in Pyjamas12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a9…3ba9backed Ninjas in Pyjamas50c399.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20233845.3%153 W · 185 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c371.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1924750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c346.39$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0318053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ac…2feebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c313$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3214751.7%76 W · 71 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x096f…5c68backed Ninjas in Pyjamas65c300$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19421644%95 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Ninjas in Pyjamas49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14619553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22c6…4574backed Ninjas in Pyjamas68c300$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9321756.7%123 W · 94 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Team WE17c300$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24972234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas69c290.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x169f…6b96backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c288.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506030%18 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Ninjas in Pyjamas63c245$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.91,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6be…5e26backed Team WE42c238.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.591040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Team WE34c230.74$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.671,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team WE49c230$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.239750.1%199 W · 198 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Ninjas in Pyjamas68c227.54$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.278655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Team WE49c225.22$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8612042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d90…1c27backed Team WE25c208.82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3213835.5%49 W · 89 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Ninjas in Pyjamas67c206.3$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13840364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4b…e93dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c202.68$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11111037.3%41 W · 69 L-0.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Team WE11c202.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8723915.9%38 W · 201 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10484050.1%421 W · 419 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Ninjas in Pyjamas79c193.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.961,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas73c192.8$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.741,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51df…2d97backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Team WE40c176.67$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6729833.9%101 W · 197 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002f…6a4ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas60c166.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.452744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Team WE28c153.87$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.296940.6%28 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Ninjas in Pyjamas62c152.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3170443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed Team WE39c150$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9221937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Ninjas in Pyjamas62c143.87$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9712060%72 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas64c141$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.241,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Team WE21c126.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1363448.1%305 W · 329 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas53c124.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Team WE27c120$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.61,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c113.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3892354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf87a…6fd8backed Team WE53c113.21$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2d…e572backed Team WE28c110$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.13036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Team WE45c101.54$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.541,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Team WE50c100.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.835146.2%162 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfed…0682backed Team WE23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777248.6%35 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfffc…c7eebacked Team WE47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5063247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3672…82d3backed Team WE21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.243729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Team WE23c80.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb682…677ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.816346%75 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…e29fbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas76c79.61$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2917462.1%108 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas54c79.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4338335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas55c78.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0711141.4%46 W · 65 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0bd…376abacked Ninjas in Pyjamas53c75.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34dc…df32backed Ninjas in Pyjamas55c72.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.