TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1110…e29f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
201
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT17462.1%108 W · 66 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$8.21
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$24.08
LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.15
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.12
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.76
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.17
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.2
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$12.3
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$55.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$34.72
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$62.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$20.9
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$154.15
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$75.12
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$161
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+57.1%+$109
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$144
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.12
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+98%+$29.7
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-67.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick73cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$338
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$40.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$5.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.