NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Hornets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f8be996c2f51369cb6c4d0cce06da4d1141da52847178e6fa5aedd60eb56fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,612,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,724,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,612,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 909 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Hornets | 41c | 224,321$91,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,843.49 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hornets | 1c | 103,958$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.58 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Magic | 59c | 100,000$58,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,499.99 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magic | 59c | 100,000$59,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,999.98 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Magic | 59c | 72,000$42,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,719.99 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43c…04e8backed Hornets | 43c | 58,000$24,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,940 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hornets | 42c | 50,365$21,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,313.89 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Magic | 57c | 38,038$21,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,349.66 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets | 42c | 32,835$13,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,640.72 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 74c | 25,240$18,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,605.68 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 69c | 24,547$16,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,611.04 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets | 1c | 22,625$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.55 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magic | 64c | 22,566$14,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,021.04 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets | 1c | 22,411$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.18 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 56c | 21,036$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,255.78 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 56c | 21,035$11,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,232.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Magic | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Magic | 55c | 19,832$10,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,924.24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Hornets | 32c | 17,115$5,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,467.25 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Hornets | 45c | 16,754$7,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,521.97 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Magic | 57c | 15,509$8,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,707.17 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 79c | 13,506$10,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.58 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…9aa9backed Magic | 76c | 13,035$9,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Magic | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…e4e3backed Hornets | 17c | 11,380$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 58c | 11,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.87 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac0…a4f8backed Hornets | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Magic | 58c | 10,632$6,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.25 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets | 4c | 10,285$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.99 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Magic | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…2e2bbacked Hornets | 42c | 9,005$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,782.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Magic | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd79…fe86backed Magic | 11c | 8,850$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 28cpaid | +1,010.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…1a35backed Magic | 11c | 8,650$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,698.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…a912backed Hornets | 27c | 8,308$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets | 43c | 8,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.98 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 72c | 7,557$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.8 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets | 45c | 7,555$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.26 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Hornets | 43c | 7,460$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.8 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets | 1c | 6,536$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hornets | 43c | 6,217$2,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.45 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Magic | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Hornets | 19c | 6,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed Hornets | 18c | 5,922$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.65 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Magic | 56c | 5,529$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.3 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Hornets | 45c | 5,181$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Hornets | 35c | 4,725$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Magic | 58c | 4,655$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.17 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 56c | 4,360$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Hornets | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets | 44c | 3,630$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.06 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Magic | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hornets | 24c | 3,410$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.69 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets | 20c | 3,137$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544c…ce36backed Magic | 58c | 3,103$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets | 38c | 3,021$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Magic | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Hornets | 41c | 2,890$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.74 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…fa42backed Magic | 57c | 2,838$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Hornets | 35c | 2,800$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Hornets | 21c | 2,672$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.59 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Hornets | 7c | 2,600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets | 0c | 2,460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Magic | 56c | 2,415$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.76 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hornets | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hornets | 22c | 2,396$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets | 8c | 2,337$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Hornets | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf880…9a5ebacked Hornets | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hornets | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…63c4backed Magic | 56c | 2,221$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e6…35cbbacked Magic | 12c | 2,220$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 56c | 2,214$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.95 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Hornets | 42c | 2,120$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Magic | 55c | 2,100$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets | 43c | 2,050$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Hornets | 25c | 2,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Magic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac14backed Hornets | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +114.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magic | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…6f0cbacked Hornets | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 70c | 1,867$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae2…eab2backed Magic | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ba…7c0fbacked Hornets | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Magic | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets | 42c | 1,750$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 56c | 1,720$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.6 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…1b72backed Magic | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e70…c8ebbacked Hornets | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 1c | 1,665$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…1961backed Hornets | 31c | 1,624$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hornets | 45c | 1,600$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hornets | 1c | 1,550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Hornets | 1c | 1,509$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Hornetsthis page
- Magic vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 239.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 240.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 241.5Under won
- Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.