TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Magic vs. Hornets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Magicof Magic, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,612,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,724,724

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,612,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 909 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Hornets41c224,321$91,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91,843.4936148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hornets1c103,958$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.5814856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Magic59c100,000$58,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,499.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Magic59c100,000$59,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,999.9847848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Magic59c72,000$42,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,719.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Hornets43c58,000$24,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,94011535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Hornets42c50,365$21,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,313.897739%30 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Magic57c38,038$21,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,349.6671052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Hornets42c32,835$13,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,640.7251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic58c30,000$17,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,60038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Hornets44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Magic74c25,240$18,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,605.6847144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Magic69c24,547$16,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,611.0426038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Hornets1c22,625$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Magic64c22,566$14,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,021.0485742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets1c22,411$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.181,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Magic56c21,036$11,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,255.781,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Magic56c21,035$11,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,232.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Magic58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4003234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Magic55c19,832$10,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,924.244050%20 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Hornets32c17,115$5,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,467.2534645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Hornets45c16,754$7,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,521.9720352.2%106 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Magic57c15,509$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,707.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Magic79c13,506$10,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.581,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a76…9aa9backed Magic76c13,035$9,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Magic55c12,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Hornets17c11,380$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Magic58c11,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,629.8747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac0…a4f8backed Hornets0c11,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Magic58c10,632$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.253237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hornets4c10,285$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.9981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Magic58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2004553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef7…2e2bbacked Hornets42c9,005$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Magic56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.5716251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd79…fe86backed Magic11c8,850$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,876.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick28cpaid+1,010.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7a…1a35backed Magic11c8,650$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,698.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77b6…a912backed Hornets27c8,308$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,265.161442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hornets43c8,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.9880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic72c7,557$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.81,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets45c7,555$3,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.261,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets43c7,460$3,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,207.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Hornets1c6,536$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.888783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Hornets43c6,217$2,673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.4516844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Magic57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58013929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad23…47c4backed Hornets19c6,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.993933.3%13 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…ee55backed Hornets18c5,922$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Magic56c5,529$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.32,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Hornets45c5,181$2,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,331.312035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hornets41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed Hornets35c4,725$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.571844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Magic58c4,655$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.1713063.8%83 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic56c4,360$2,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.92,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Hornets44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets44c3,630$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.0666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Magic58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.281266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hornets24c3,410$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.691,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hornets20c3,137$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.821,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x544c…ce36backed Magic58c3,103$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets38c3,021$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Magic59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Hornets45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35022752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hornets43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.9875347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Hornets41c2,890$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.746746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe52f…fa42backed Magic57c2,838$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Hornets35c2,800$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.81225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Hornets21c2,672$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.5927917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Hornets7c2,600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.866732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Hornets0c2,460$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.458820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Magic56c2,415$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.7612160.3%73 W · 48 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Hornets41c2,400$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98410852.8%57 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hornets22c2,396$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.092,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Hornets8c2,337$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19219535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Hornets43c2,300$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98917250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf880…9a5ebacked Hornets45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hornets45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1685…63c4backed Magic56c2,221$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e6…35cbbacked Magic12c2,220$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Magic56c2,214$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.9595049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Hornets42c2,120$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89355346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed Magic55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9456254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hornets43c2,050$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Hornets25c2,021$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Magic59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f7…ac14backed Hornets5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+114.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Magic59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8201,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bff…6f0cbacked Hornets44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8802540%10 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Magic70c1,867$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae2…eab2backed Magic57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick56cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6ba…7c0fbacked Hornets43c1,800$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Magic56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.715038%19 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hornets42c1,750$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic56c1,720$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.644459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…1b72backed Magic57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e70…c8ebbacked Hornets43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73160%0 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hornets1c1,665$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27e…1961backed Hornets31c1,624$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.533060%18 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hornets45c1,600$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hornets1c1,550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Hornets1c1,509$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.