TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc63b…1b72

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.55
AHL: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs. Calgary Wranglersbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+88.7%+$51.7
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$69.6
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.04
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 6 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri State Bears vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Missouri State Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Colorado Buffaloes vs. San Francisco Donsbacked San Francisco Dons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Ripon Red Hawks vs. Green Bay Phoenixbacked Green Bay Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+100%+$40
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$23.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Adelaide Strikers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$70.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$82.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.