Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe017d8b2dcd9b70a3cba270fe853c8d7fa1f7bf9328bd6bd6e47bef58dc53f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 11,013$5,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,805.76 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 8,300$3,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.96 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed No | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 4,791$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.49 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 3,618$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.45 | 329 | 44.7%147 W · 182 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…b180backed Yes | 55c | 2,823$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 2,580$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.81 | 450 | 42%189 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 2,530$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.61 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 49c | 2,380$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.08 | 704 | 35.8%252 W · 452 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 46c | 2,159$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 27c | 1,575$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.15 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…dc17backed Yes | 9c | 1,167$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 75c | 1,140$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 53cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 60c | 1,021$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebc…89c8backed Yes | 40c | 1,021$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 52cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…668ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 34c | 923.21$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.97 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 25c | 810$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 782.87$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.75 | 313 | 42.5%133 W · 180 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 5c | 700$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 26c | 660.52$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 56c | 553.24$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.23 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed No | 45c | 538.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.67 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed No | 55c | 503$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.35 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 35c | 497$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.83 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Yes | 53c | 471.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 43c | 468.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 55c | 465$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.38 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 43c | 458.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 59c | 457.22$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.73 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 427.13$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.77 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked No | 39c | 410.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…a45ebacked Yes | 26c | 407.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Yes | 28c | 407.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 142 | 38%54 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 389.2$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 346 | 42.2%146 W · 200 L | -15.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 62c | 378.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 54c | 373.16$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.94 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 16c | 369.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 54c | 367$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 23c | 366.49$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 415 | 53%220 W · 195 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 52c | 363.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 361.44$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 75c | 357.39$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.74 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed No | 76c | 348$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 25c | 339$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 39c | 338.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 331.1$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 74c | 314.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 208 | 32.2%67 W · 141 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 23c | 309.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed No | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 27c | 296.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 74c | 276.27$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ea…ea62backed No | 77c | 253$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 73c | 244$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 57c | 242.61$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 881 | 37.7%332 W · 549 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 40c | 222.07$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 31c | 217.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06f…11f3backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 33c | 200.9$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.6 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…2b2fbacked No | 23c | 190.03$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 31c | 176$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 25c | 168.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 26c | 163$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes | 54c | 160$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 57c | 153.01$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Yes | 36c | 152$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Yes | 37c | 147.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 26c | 147.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 25c | 138.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 73c | 128.05$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8353…c00fbacked Yes | 52c | 127$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes | 55c | 124.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 42c | 123.06$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1800…9c8ebacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 14c | 119.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +188.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…b68abacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 25c | 96.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 94.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-21?this page
- Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?Yes won
- Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-07-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.