TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,590
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,590 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No76c5,855$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.6472335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c4,939$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.731,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes26c3,066$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,268.8214532.4%47 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes25c2,030$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.655429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd771…489fbacked No75c1,650$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes35c1,172$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.8524340.7%99 W · 144 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No9c956.75$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.678040%32 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+88.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes60c933.2$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.5644647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes57c849.57$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.913764.9%24 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes24c737.68$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.6746741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3761…203cbacked Yes27c730.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.431030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Yes27c703.7$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.71421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick13cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c700$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53921460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes26c699.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.988038.8%31 W · 49 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1f…0d9dbacked Yes79c604.02$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.692065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No37c507$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.648440.5%34 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes26c427.32$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.791,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes24c400$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3039728.9%28 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c399.04$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No71c394.78$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5523031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes27c369.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.732650%13 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes25c360$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes25c339$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.255743.9%25 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No58c325.71$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9310539%41 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes25c317.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.481233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b2…a45ebacked No18c317.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.330%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes19c315.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.2318736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No25c305.45$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.441315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-62.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Yes25c234$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0314238%54 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes24c233.88$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7510046%46 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c225.6$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.921,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No25c223.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2337649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes38c210$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.97345.2%33 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes28c208$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64f3…34b6backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.311947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed No74c186.49$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1382060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c185.48$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.484032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes21c176.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.637339.7%29 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No75c168.86$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6531847.5%151 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes24c166.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3136142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No60c156.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c3…2020backed Yes20c148.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.813151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No9c147.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.314540%18 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbff0…9885backed Yes73c137.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…cdebbacked No14c130$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes16c112.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes43c111$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.144445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes26c109.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2688631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7638142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241050%5 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.151442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c93.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8833844.7%151 W · 187 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce9…6cfdbacked Yes26c90.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x648f…fc85backed Yes26c90.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.962642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c89.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.299739.2%38 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No76c85.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8727236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…cfacbacked Yes26c82.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes25c78.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2652046.7%243 W · 277 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No75c78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2624252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6833…2011backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No66c73.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.366357.1%36 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes21c71.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.432828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf65f…134ebacked Yes27c70.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.671225%3 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba4…26b5backed Yes28c69.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes74c67.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.678845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes25c66.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0322245%100 W · 122 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcf…1f7bbacked Yes28c62.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc151…99e5backed Yes29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes25c56.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4629949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes22c55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1215442.9%66 W · 88 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c7b…3d69backed Yes25c51.94$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.961656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.712144.6%54 W · 67 L-9.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Yes25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No75c49.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3316651.2%85 W · 81 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a37…ed8bbacked No79c49.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes67c47.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.623461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed No74c47.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.867564%48 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No74c45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.314736.1%53 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3711846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes25c44.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.327236.1%26 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…72f2backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b4…f911backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No74c33.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1565050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No75c33.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7313567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No33c32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes73c31.23$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4939743.3%172 W · 225 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes75c28.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed No74c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+43.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No52c26.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6727450.7%139 W · 135 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac64…866ebacked No56c23.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263050%15 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No74c20.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.256267.7%42 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4df…e6cfbacked No58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61250%6 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Yes71c17.38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.042445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No77c13.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.752352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.