TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb069…9568

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
187
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10862%67 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.81
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$140.34
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$76
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+115.8%+$464.51
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+236.1%+$154.55
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.61
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$5.69
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$70.54
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$41.75
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.25
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.96
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$83.46
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$94.93
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.62
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$17.83
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.6
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$147
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$49.23
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$180.8
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$61.09
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$73.47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$90.11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.03
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$145.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.34
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$68
All 20 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,548Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,548.18
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$129.57
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$22.09
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$153.86
Counter-Strike: BORRACHEIROS vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs ECHO (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Play-Inbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.1
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.35
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$558.76
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Patins da Ferrari (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Patins da Ferrari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$441.07
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.93
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.55
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$364.42
Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.53
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$123.05
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.23
Will Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$59.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+137.9%+$104.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Grinch" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$107.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,681Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$420.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.