TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,937
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,827

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,937 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c17,800$9,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,177.711,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e96…59f1backed Over51c8,860$4,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,519250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over51c8,822$4,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.552544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked Over0c7,550$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.762119%4 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-66.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c7,038$3,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.449159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under50c5,424$2,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,712.1114100%14 W · 0 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over50c5,110$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over51c4,100$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,091333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-39.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c2,599$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.4915455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005757.9%33 W · 24 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over34c1,913$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.637352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c1,739$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.94362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over46c1,300$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over36c1,249$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.015129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under61c1,140$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over12c1,131$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.481,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over49c1,050$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under54c833.28$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.292572%18 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under51c799.98$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.991957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Over29c774$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under73c722.99$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over49c684.53$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under50c650$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32811250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under55c638.59$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.376157.4%35 W · 26 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c635.29$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.455942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Over47c633.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30070%0 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under51c591.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4312050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over47c579.66$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.449145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c555.03$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064a…245dbacked Under47c555$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.15580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over48c550$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.53138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under55c546.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.071181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under49c543.01$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Under61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+107%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under59c410.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd82c…acb0backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c391.85$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5623151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c368.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.315750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c322.19$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.916842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over36c303.5$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.198856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under52c249$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.029747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c236$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2817043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b79…6a80backed Under77c200$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under54c199.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918355.4%46 W · 37 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under51c188.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.63557.1%20 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over13c161.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c147.75$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9226550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under78c107.84$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.573450%17 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2939…2e57backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.994050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc258…447bbacked Under52c97.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Under54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Under65c85.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdec5…14debacked Over55c74.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over21c70.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794742.6%20 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf873…f644backed Under73c65.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over50c62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c60.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.224051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over42c59.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254136.6%15 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over45c59.17$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.622334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over39c54.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4812343.9%54 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under59c53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Over43c48.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0410348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under50c47.64$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.821656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f6…4313backed Under75c42.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed Over49c40.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf274…fcadbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…c19dbacked Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under60c38.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e30…db95backed Over46c37.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Over41c37.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under56c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Under57c34.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.711225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under78c32.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0618360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed Over47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under54c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.218942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe83…3b00backed Over49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0165backed Under67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over45c28.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137540%30 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce7a…5e33backed Under78c28.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over46c27.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.685440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5c3…2d9ebacked Under53c27.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…506bbacked Under57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73fc…1833backed Under77c21.97$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Under80c21.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0156…2ddcbacked Under56c20.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d91…adb6backed Over50c20.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.