TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b79…6a80

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT14740.8%60 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Spread: Spurs (-20.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+203.9%+$28.18
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$14.69
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.97
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.88
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.98
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.95
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.17
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$57.37
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$14.02
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43%+$12.79
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35.5
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.5
SV Darmstadt 98 vs. 1. FC Nürnberg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+30%+$21.95
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.25
DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. Holstein Kiel: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$89.17
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$68
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25.2%+$40.25
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$48
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.3%+$59.5
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+36.5%+$93.5
FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+39.5%+$8.5
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.07
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+27.1%+$13.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+40.3%+$11.29
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$197.55
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$45
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37.3%+$13.59
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.4%+$36.6
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+50.2%+$83.5
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$83.25
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Watford FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+26.5%+$37.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.58
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.52
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+79.5%+$327.8
Como 1907 vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+34.9%+$34.88
AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+74.3%+$34.1
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+30.2%+$12.75
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.1%+$42.1
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$118.21
Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$68.65
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.6%+$11.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+140.5%+$75.94
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.38
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$137.3
CA Osasuna vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$9.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.