Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc9f202fe96fde6659a5009f88a6cbf3360c384f1297d777028267f583d6daca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $471,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Over | 43c | 392,724$167,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225,161.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 57c | 127,289$72,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,554.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 57c | 97,959$55,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,836.85 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 58c | 56,000$32,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,480 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 58c | 39,411$22,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,856.91 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 58c | 22,005$12,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,741.78 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.81 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 7,009$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 8c | 4,250$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.65 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 64c | 3,116$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.07 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +14.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 2,763$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.64 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 57c | 2,738$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.54 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 35c | 2,204$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.19 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Under | 59c | 2,119$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 42c | 1,932$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.2 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…0637backed Under | 57c | 1,860$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 42c | 1,780$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.52 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 29c | 1,319$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.33 | 120 | 20.8%25 W · 95 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 1,281$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.07 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 58c | 1,240$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.99 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x112c…eeb4backed Over | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Under | 1c | 1,043$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 43c | 914.99$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.55 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 43c | 582.08$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.08 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 42c | 555.5$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.29 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 43c | 528$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.56 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 58c | 420$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Under | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 58c | 330$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Under | 58c | 325$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 68c | 305.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 40c | 299.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.1 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 58c | 290.18$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 58c | 220$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 208$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 58c | 190$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…6a80backed Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 261 | 58.2%152 W · 109 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 322 | 55.9%180 W · 142 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 58c | 170$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…364cbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 163.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 42c | 159.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 9c | 151.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 43c | 134.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 58c | 102$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 34c | 91.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 61c | 82.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.