TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf385…364c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 51 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$625.64
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$94.74
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,166.67
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$409.09
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$178.68
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST140%0 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $200-$202 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.18
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $188-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40.91
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $184-$186 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.71
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $192-$194 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $190-$192 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $194-$196 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.48
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $196-$198 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$40.91
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $198-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.89
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $186-$188 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$41.18
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $50-$52 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$42.31
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $48-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at $42-$44 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$38.89
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.85
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+83.8%+$24.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$143.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or higher on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$143.81
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$231.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+171.5%+$228.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 62°F or higher on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$185.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$230.78
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 49-50°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$141.8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$33.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$143.02
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or below on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$143.01
Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$152.47
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$143.24
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$145
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$69.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Eubank Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$28.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$538.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.