La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9ca93bd32a5111cea3c7634b2e9bbeb27a4df73bf8884ad95cabada759aebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 2c | 26,766$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.02 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…b4f4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,060$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.66 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,999$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 6c | 4,690$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…4efcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,463$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 7c | 1,967$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,838$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 1,577$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,529$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,416$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 7c | 1,375$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…9e46backed Yes | 1c | 1,148$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 15c | 1,016$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 3c | 981.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…364cbacked Yes | 7c | 969.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e6…d46fbacked Yes | 8c | 900$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 4c | 894.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 7c | 825$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 5c | 700$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 7c | 695$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 8c | 630.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Yes | 7c | 624.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 8c | 540.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…d333backed Yes | 4c | 531.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12e…3713backed Yes | 6c | 512.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…1871backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…2395backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…37d8backed Yes | 8c | 400.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b806backed Yes | 7c | 400.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc513…ffe7backed Yes | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 8c | 377.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 6c | 367.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6852…ce4dbacked Yes | 7c | 359$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…ac35backed Yes | 6c | 332.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x548e…dce1backed Yes | 8c | 307.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…8f9ebacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes | 7c | 265.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195a…9442backed Yes | 8c | 251.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 242$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 7c | 217.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ce…a973backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…9737backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +171%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…a818backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 7c | 149.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bc…61b6backed Yes | 7c | 148.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 7c | 135.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 8c | 129.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5748backed Yes | 8c | 127.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…b968backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe059…66cebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…5174backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 11c | 120.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.