TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x54b0…b4f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.61
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$20.92
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$6.67
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$4.94
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$36.59
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$12.14
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+1,134.3%+$195.13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.23
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$37.56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$41.2
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+39.7%+$17.05
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$36.96
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$86.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+66.3%+$36.8
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.18
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.08
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.5%+$14.75
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+149.6%+$16.91
Wizards vs. Pistonsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+733.3%+$192.74
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.12
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$124.22
Cavaliers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$25.54
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+128%+$20.58
Celtics vs. Mavericksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+40.2%+$4.3
Celtics vs. Mavericks: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.76
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.93
Knicks vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.38
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.35
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.22
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$222.15
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$34.12
Kings vs. Celticsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$38.58
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$29.06
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.34
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+582.7%+$82.69
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30.17
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.7
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$22.88
Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+312.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+559.4%+$61.88
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+65.8%+$23.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+158.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$3.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+61.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$58.28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$14.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$75.4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$142.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+549.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+549.4%+$735.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+434.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+434.3%+$47.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+318.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+318.9%+$136.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$33.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$23.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.