NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a73228ad568b07a8ca7e52d3b1c78430f8ebd4704ccd42dc031b895c049746
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Magic, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,263,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,132,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,263,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 748 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Magic | 26c | 150,000$39,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,999.97 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Magic | 28c | 132,557$36,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,790.41 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Thunder | 71c | 104,313$73,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,709.87 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Magic | 26c | 90,220$23,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,457.27 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Thunder | 75c | 75,238$56,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,684.28 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Magic | 19c | 70,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,099.99 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Magic | 12c | 62,508$7,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,701.61 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Magic | 29c | 49,411$14,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,515.85 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 29c | 45,555$13,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,210.95 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Magic | 26c | 42,636$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,085.44 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…2d97backed Magic | 8c | 41,444$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Thunder | 73c | 41,250$30,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,137.5 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Thunder | 74c | 38,926$28,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,138.56 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Magic | 30c | 37,651$11,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,277.23 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Magic | 24c | 37,572$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Thunder | 80c | 34,450$27,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,889.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 74c | 33,198$24,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,673.04 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Magic | 19c | 31,579$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Magic | 26c | 30,010$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802.58 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Magic | 26c | 30,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Magic | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 20c | 24,276$4,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.27 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Thunder | 79c | 23,645$18,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.46 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Thunder | 79c | 20,000$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Magic | 26c | 20,000$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 1c | 19,413$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Thunder | 76c | 18,523$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.57 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 78c | 17,202$13,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,735.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 7c | 15,369$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Magic | 26c | 15,015$3,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.9 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Thunder | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Thunder | 73c | 15,000$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,050 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Thunder | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Magic | 27c | 14,999$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.73 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 3c | 14,047$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Thunder | 72c | 12,831$9,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.31 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Magic | 28c | 12,827$3,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,543.84 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Magic | 3c | 12,674$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 3c | 12,564$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Magic | 20c | 12,185$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,437.04 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 73c | 12,024$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Thunder | 71c | 11,960$8,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.4 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Thunder | 74c | 11,942$8,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.92 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Magic | 28c | 11,697$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.75 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Magic | 23c | 11,612$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,646.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Thunder | 75c | 11,383$8,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.76 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Thunder | 74c | 11,375$8,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.02 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Thunder | 74c | 10,888$8,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.88 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953c…1aacbacked Magic | 13c | 10,736$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Magic | 23c | 10,487$2,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,370.88 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Magic | 5c | 10,343$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.63 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Thunder | 71c | 10,189$7,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.8 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dfb…5240backed Magic | 0c | 10,020$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Thunder | 73c | 10,000$7,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.36 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…d67abacked Thunder | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Thunder | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Magic | 23c | 9,642$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.77 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 72c | 8,651$6,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.36 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Thunder | 72c | 8,610$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.72 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Magic | 22c | 8,290$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Thunder | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Thunder | 73c | 7,414$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.66 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Thunder | 70c | 7,300$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Magic | 29c | 7,185$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.8 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Thunder | 73c | 7,000$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Thunder | 72c | 6,944$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.44 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,797$5,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.72 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 20c | 6,709$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.03 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…5250backed Thunder | 80c | 6,682$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Magic | 29c | 6,299$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.71 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Magic | 29c | 6,134$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.61 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Magic | 29c | 6,105$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.1 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Magic | 27c | 6,008$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.1 | 369 | 50.1%185 W · 184 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Magic | 21c | 5,940$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.45 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 5,900$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Thunder | 74c | 5,267$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.29 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Thunder | 71c | 5,181$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.38 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 30c | 5,092$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.92 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Thunder | 79c | 5,000$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…6b37backed Magic | 20c | 4,916$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Thunder | 70c | 4,759$3,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.96 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked Magic | 16c | 4,736$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.73 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Magic | 23c | 4,726$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Thunder | 71c | 4,705$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.55 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Thunder | 74c | 4,647$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.06 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Thunder | 78c | 4,615$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.41 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…f1bcbacked Thunder | 74c | 4,354$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Thunder | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Magic | 29c | 4,217$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.66 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3260…c210backed Thunder | 74c | 4,208$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Thunder | 72c | 4,179$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.39 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Thunder | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.05 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Magic | 29c | 4,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Magic | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Magic | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…ea87backed Magic | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -78%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Magic | 24c | 3,711$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Thunder | 74c | 3,677$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.03 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Thunderthis page
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Magic vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
- Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
- Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.