NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1580d03da0be053071aa32b3c674996c845d7237a4ea70600e24b80d7dcf628

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Magic
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $78,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,110 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Thunder	52c	25,000$13,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,999.98	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Thunder	52c	11,373$5,859 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,514.12	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Magic	49c	11,201$5,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,488.5	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf886…c02fbacked Magic	48c	10,857$5,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,211.42	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder	51c	7,467$3,844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,622.87	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Magic	48c	7,292$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Magic	48c	5,208$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Magic	50c	5,136$2,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,560.87	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Magic	48c	5,123$2,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,458.96	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Thunder	52c	4,492$2,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,171.16	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Thunder	52c	4,114$2,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.21	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef2…efe6backed Magic	48c	3,470$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	52c	3,227$1,676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.04	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	35c	2,168$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$762.93	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Magic	48c	2,160$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.8	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Magic	47c	2,100$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$986.98	215	49.8%107 W · 108 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Magic	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Thunder	67c	1,512$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$498.82	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Magic	48c	1,250$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	321	50.8%163 W · 158 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3860…0efcbacked Magic	48c	1,232$591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.43	129	50.4%65 W · 64 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Thunder	51c	1,192$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.11	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Magic	47c	1,030$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfceb…d543backed Magic	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x760a…d0bdbacked Magic	48c	900$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Thunder	53c	793.06$420 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.74	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Thunder	70c	716.41$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.24	909	57.6%524 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Thunder	53c	599.86$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.86	78	62.8%49 W · 29 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a0…610ebacked Magic	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4949…478ebacked Magic	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Magic	49c	408.16$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b6…f2d7backed Thunder	52c	400$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Magic	49c	399.99$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Thunder	62c	375.64$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.61	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba3…254ebacked Thunder	52c	330$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Magic	49c	327$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.75	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b8…684bbacked Thunder	60c	325.79$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.79	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x896e…7f9abacked Thunder	52c	320$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Thunder	52c	307.69$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.69	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ed…b758backed Thunder	52c	300$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Thunder	51c	300$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Thunder	52c	300$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Thunder	68c	294.12$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.12	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f32…483dbacked Thunder	52c	288.46$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.46	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Thunder	52c	280.36$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.31	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb87…74d2backed Thunder	52c	280$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Magic	45c	278.43$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.03	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Magic	30c	273.31$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.33	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd64…e0d5backed Thunder	52c	270$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Thunder	52c	249.99$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.01	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Magic	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Magic	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	86	47.7%41 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Thunder	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-9.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Thunder	53c	189.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.42	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec5…ece4backed Thunder	52c	180$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Thunder	52c	164.06$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Thunder	52c	159.38$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fd…f553backed Thunder	52c	151$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.48	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+19%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Thunder	68c	145.59$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.59	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Thunder	52c	134.62$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.62	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Magic	42c	122.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	506	51.2%259 W · 247 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2531…a7c4backed Thunder	57c	108.77$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.77	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Magic	49c	105.73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.31	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Thunder	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Thunder	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e21…c6f4backed Thunder	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	132	65.2%86 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Thunder	52c	95.17$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.68	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Thunder	52c	79.69$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.86	251	43%108 W · 143 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Thunder	51c	78.62$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.14	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Thunder	52c	78.4$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.63	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Magic	38c	71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	55c	69.82$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.47	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Thunder	53c	64.15$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.15	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f95…1f16backed Thunder	57c	61.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2522…8707backed Thunder	57c	61.4$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	14	85.7%12 W · 2 L	+4.5wins	+0.32per pick	53cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6677…575cbacked Thunder	52c	61.08$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Magic	36c	60.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.8	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7280…fbd1backed Thunder	51c	58.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.81	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7337…0cd1backed Thunder	53c	57.8$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.35	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Thunder	63c	57.33$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.33	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Thunder	52c	55$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.4	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0957…54efbacked Thunder	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.2wins	+0.20per pick	53cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc99f…f2adbacked Thunder	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.18per pick	48cpaid	+44%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ac…e8aabacked Thunder	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+90.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe113…375dbacked Thunder	67c	52.11$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Magic	34c	46.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Thunder	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Thunder	54c	45.97$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.97	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd0c…6ef4backed Thunder	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1750…c64fbacked Thunder	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb0…eae5backed Thunder	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38ee…dc20backed Thunder	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b83…b79abacked Thunder	58c	43.1$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Thunder	52c	42.31$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.31	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder	54c	42.02$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7e7bbacked Thunder	60c	41.79$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.20per pick	52cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1164…e19cbacked Thunder	60c	41.56$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.56	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2681…8aeabacked Thunder	60c	41.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.53	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed Magic	49c	40.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd227…0e69backed Thunder	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	58	69%40 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12e3…a336backed Thunder	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Desmond Bane: Points O/U 18.5No won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Magic vs. ThunderThunder won
Magic vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5Under won
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 221.5Under won
Magic vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 31.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Tristan da Silva: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Wendell Carter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event